Bills 21–14 Dolphins: Score, Stats & Recap | Week 18, 2023

Q: How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins?

J. Allen (Buffalo Bills), 65.2% completion, +18.2% CPOE, +0.17 EPA per dropback, +7.91 total passing EPA. T. Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins), 56.7% completion, +0.5% CPOE, +0.04 EPA per dropback, +1.06 total passing EPA.

Q: Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins?

J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +7.91 total EPA on Passing plays. across 46 snaps. Their top snap (-4.42 EPA): (6:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left intended for 13-G.Davis INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Apple at MIA -5. 33-E.Apple to MIA 3 for 8 yards (13-G.Davis)..

Quick answer

Winner: Buffalo Bills
Final score: Buffalo Bills 21–14 Miami Dolphins
Halftime: Buffalo Bills 7–14 Miami Dolphins at halftime
FantasyHQ MVP: Jonathan Allen
Top passer: Jonathan Allen
Biggest EPA play: (14:02) 16-J.Bailey punts 58 yards to BUF 4, Center-44-B.Ferguson. 11-D.Harty for 96 yards…
Game date: 2024-01-07

Game summary

The Buffalo Bills beat the Miami Dolphins 21–14 on 2024-01-07, overcoming Miami Dolphins's 14–7 halftime lead. Jonathan Allen posted a game-high +7.91 total EPA in the passing.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 21 combined points.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

	Q2	Q4	—	—	—	T
Buffalo Bills	7	14	0	0	0	21
Miami Dolphins	14	0	0	0	0	14

Scoring Map

Each pin marks where a score occurred on the field — yard line from play-by-play.

BUFBuffalo Bills

BUF 25

+1BUF 15

MIA 6

BUF 3

+1BUF 15

BUF 62

MIA 5

MIAMiami Dolphins

FantasyHQ Analytics

Scoring timeline

10 scores

Chronological scoring plays — scroll to follow the game.

MIAMiami Dolphins
Q2 8:58TD
De'Von Achane
Points+6
Yard line
BUF 25
Score
0-6
(8:58) (Shotgun) 28-D.Achane right end for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
MIAMiami Dolphins
Q2 8:51XP
Jason Sanders
Points+1
Yard line
BUF 15
Score
0-7
7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q2 4:36TD
Trent Sherfield Sr.
Points+6
Yard line
MIA 6
Score
6-7
(4:36) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 16-T.Sherfield for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q2 4:31XP
Tyler Bass
Points+1
Yard line
MIA 15
Score
7-7
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
MIAMiami Dolphins
Q2 1:46TD
Trysten Hill
Points+6
Yard line
BUF 3
Score
7-13
(1:46) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short right to 10-T.Hill for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
MIAMiami Dolphins
Q2 1:43XP
Jason Sanders
Points+1
Yard line
BUF 15
Score
7-14
7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q4 14:02TD
Deonte Harty
Points+6
Yard line
BUF 62
Score
13-14
(14:02) 16-J.Bailey punts 58 yards to BUF 4, Center-44-B.Ferguson. 11-D.Harty for 96 yards, TOUCHDOWN. MIA-53-C.Goode was injured during the play. He is Out.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q4 13:42XP
Tyler Bass
Points+1
Yard line
MIA 15
Score
14-14
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q4 7:21TD
Dawson Knox
Points+6
Yard line
MIA 5
Score
20-14
(7:21) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 88-D.Knox for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q4 7:16XP
Tyler Bass
Points+1
Yard line
MIA 15
Score
21-14
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA).

1Jonathan Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +7.91 total EPA · 46 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
2Khalil Shakir · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +7.26 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.21 EPA/play
3Stefon Diggs · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.63 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
4Dalton Kincaid · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.56 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
5Trent Sherfield Sr. · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.66 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
6Trysten Hill · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +2.28 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
7De'Von Achane · Miami Dolphins · Rushing · +1.98 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
8Dawson Knox · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.76 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Highest total EPA with the player's top snap and the game's biggest single play when different.

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Jonathan Allen — BUF · Passing

Jonathan Allen posted the highest total EPA (+7.91) in the game, the strongest overall impact for Buffalo Bills. Across 46 counted snaps, they averaged +0.17 EPA per play.

Jonathan Allen's top snap (-4.42 EPA): (6:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left intended for 13-G.Davis INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Apple at MIA -5. 33-E.Apple to MIA 3 for 8 yards (13-G.Davis).

Biggest single play (-6.11 EPA): Jake Bailey — (14:02) 16-J.Bailey punts 58 yards to BUF 4, Center-44-B.Ferguson. 11-D.Harty for 96 yards, TOUCHDOWN. MIA-53-C.Goode was injured during the play. He is Out.

Quarterback report card

Jonathan Allen led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 46 dropbacks · 65.2% completion · +18.2% CPOE · +0.17 EPA/play · +7.91 total EPA
Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins) · 30 dropbacks · 56.7% completion · +0.5% CPOE · +0.04 EPA/play · +1.06 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency.

Stat	Buffalo Bills	Miami Dolphins
Offensive EPA/play	+0.053	-0.067
Offensive success rate	47.1%	43.3%
Pass EPA/play	+0.172	-0.012
Rush EPA/play	-0.108	+0.070
Defensive EPA/play	+0.067	-0.053
Defensive success rate	56.7%	52.9%

Drive & efficiency notes

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.05 vs -0.07), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

Season benchmark context (offensive EPA per play):

Buffalo Bills: +0.05 EPA/play (67th percentile vs. 2023 team-game averages)
Miami Dolphins: -0.07 EPA/play (39th percentile vs. 2023 team-game averages)

Buffalo Bills: 10 drives, +4.62 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
Miami Dolphins: 9 drives, -4.51 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal from official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

Miami Dolphins — De'Von Achane (Q2 8:58)
Buffalo Bills — Trent Sherfield Sr. (Jonathan Allen pass) (Q2 4:36)
Miami Dolphins — Trysten Hill (Tua Tagovailoa pass) (Q2 1:46)
Buffalo Bills — Deonte Harty (Q4 14:02)
Buffalo Bills — Dawson Knox (Jonathan Allen pass) (Q4 7:21)

Quarter by quarter

Quarter-by-quarter recap from live scoring plays.

The second quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 14–7. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the BUF 25 (Q2 8:58) — (8:58) (Shotgun) 28-D.Achane right end for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 8:51) — 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the MIA 6 (Q2 4:36) — (4:36) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 16-T.Sherfield for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q2 4:31) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the BUF 3 (Q2 1:46) — (1:46) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short right to 10-T.Hill for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 1:43) — 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 14–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BUF 62 (Q4 14:02); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q4 13:42) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the MIA 5 (Q4 7:21) — (7:21) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 88-D.Knox for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q4 7:16) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most.

Miami Dolphins (Q4 14:02) — (14:02) 16-J.Bailey punts 58 yards to BUF 4, Center-44-B.Ferguson. 11-D.Harty for 96 yards, TOUCHDOWN. MIA-53-C.Goode was injured during the play. He is Out. [WPA -21.3% · EPA -6.11]
Buffalo Bills (Q4 7:21) — (7:21) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 88-D.Knox for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.1% · EPA +1.79]
Buffalo Bills (Q1 6:08) — (6:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left intended for 13-G.Davis INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Apple at MIA -5. 33-E.Apple to MIA 3 for 8 yards (13-G.Davis). [WPA -13.1% · EPA -4.42]
Buffalo Bills (Q2 0:11) — (:11) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 26-T.Johnson to MIA 2 for 9 yards (33-E.Apple; 55-J.Baker). [WPA -11.9% · EPA -2.97]
Miami Dolphins (Q4 1:17) — (1:17) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep left intended for 83-C.Claypool INTERCEPTED by 20-T.Rapp at BUF 22. 20-T.Rapp to BUF 22 for no gain (83-C.Claypool). BUF-20-T.Rapp was injured during the play [WPA -11.2% · EPA -1.90]

Impact plays

Highest EPA snaps that flipped field position.

Miami Dolphins (Q4 14:02) — (14:02) 16-J.Bailey punts 58 yards to BUF 4, Center-44-B.Ferguson. 11-D.Harty for 96 yards, TOUCHDOWN. MIA-53-C.Goode was injured during the play. He is Out. [WPA -21.3% · EPA -6.11]
Buffalo Bills (Q1 6:08) — (6:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left intended for 13-G.Davis INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Apple at MIA -5. 33-E.Apple to MIA 3 for 8 yards (13-G.Davis). [WPA -13.1% · EPA -4.42]
Buffalo Bills (Q3 0:17) — (:17) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at MIA 28 for -7 yards (94-C.Wilkins). FUMBLES (94-C.Wilkins) [94-C.Wilkins], RECOVERED by MIA-94-C.Wilkins at MIA 27. [WPA -9.1% · EPA -4.33]
Buffalo Bills (Q1 2:23) — (2:23) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 10-K.Shakir pushed ob at MIA 43 for 46 yards (21-D.Elliott). [WPA +8.7% · EPA +3.50]

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with play-by-play context.

Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q2 8:58 · BUF 25 · Score 0-6
(8:58) (Shotgun) 28-D.Achane right end for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q2 8:51 · BUF 15 · Score 0-7
7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 4:36 · MIA 6 · Score 6-7
(4:36) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 16-T.Sherfield for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 4:31 · MIA 15 · Score 7-7
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q2 1:46 · BUF 3 · Score 7-13
(1:46) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short right to 10-T.Hill for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q2 1:43 · BUF 15 · Score 7-14
7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 14:02 · BUF 62 · Score 13-14
(14:02) 16-J.Bailey punts 58 yards to BUF 4, Center-44-B.Ferguson. 11-D.Harty for 96 yards, TOUCHDOWN. MIA-53-C.Goode was injured during the play. He is Out.
Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 13:42 · MIA 15 · Score 14-14
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 7:21 · MIA 5 · Score 20-14
(7:21) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 88-D.Knox for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 7:16 · MIA 15 · Score 21-14
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research and follow-up box score digging.

Buffalo Bills earned the result — use the box score for snap-level context.
One-score margin — verify garbage-time stats before drawing fantasy conclusions.
Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) led total EPA — start here for highlight and prop research.
Jonathan Allen (BUF) finished above expected through the air (positive CPOE).

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins on 2024-01-07?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Miami Dolphins 21-14 in Week 18, 2023.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins?

Q2: Buffalo Bills 7, Miami Dolphins 14; Q4: Buffalo Bills 14, Miami Dolphins 0; Final: Buffalo Bills 21, Miami Dolphins 14.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins?

Miami Dolphins touchdown — D. Achane (Q2 8:58) Buffalo Bills touchdown — T. Sherfield (J. Allen pass) (Q2 4:36) Miami Dolphins touchdown — T. Hill (T. Tagovailoa pass) (Q2 1:46) Buffalo Bills touchdown — D. Harty (Q4 14:02) Buffalo Bills touchdown — D. Knox (J. Allen pass) (Q4 7:21) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins?

Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills), 65.2% completion, +18.2% CPOE, +0.17 EPA per dropback, +7.91 total passing EPA. Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins), 56.7% completion, +0.5% CPOE, +0.04 EPA per dropback, +1.06 total passing EPA.

Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins?

Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +7.91 total EPA on Passing plays. across 46 snaps. Their top snap (-4.42 EPA): (6:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left intended for 13-G.Davis INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Apple at MIA -5. 33-E.Apple to MIA 3 for 8 yards (13-G.Davis)..

Was Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Buffalo Bills won 21-14 in a game that stayed within one score into the fourth quarter.

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Entered 10-6 Now 11-6 W

Miami Dolphins

Entered 11-5 Now 11-6 L

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins: 2023 Week 18 Recap

Top fantasy performers · Bills

Top fantasy performers · Dolphins

Quick answer

Game summary