FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · December 31, 2017 · 11 min read

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins: 2017 Week 17 Recap

Bills defeat Dolphins 22–16 in Week 17

Tyrod Taylor led Fantasy Impact as Bills prevailed in a 22–16 Week 17 finish.

Buffalo Bills 22 9–7 Winner
Final 22–16
Miami Dolphins 16 6–10
Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
22–16
Halftime
Buffalo Bills 10–0 Miami Dolphins
Top passer
D. Fales
FantasyHQ MVP
Tyrod Taylor
Game date
December 31, 2017

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • Tyrod Taylor
    Tyrod Taylor 19/37 · 222 YDS · 1 TD +13.3 Fantasy Impact
  • K.Benjamin 2 REC · 27 YDS +3.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Darwin Thompson
    Darwin Thompson 2 REC · 23 YDS +3.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Dolphins

  • DeVante Parker
    DeVante Parker 6 REC · 64 YDS +5.1 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Landry 9 REC · 92 YDS · 2 TD +4.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Donovan Smith
    Donovan Smith 3 REC · 27 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Buffalo Bills defeated the Miami Dolphins 22–16 in Week 17 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-12-31, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-19.2% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Miami Dolphins swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-12-31, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Miami Dolphins, pulling away with a 22–16 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Fales (Miami Dolphins) paced the passing game, with -2.16 total EPA, and +3.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.31 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-19.2% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Miami Dolphins changed the game: (:56) (Shotgun) 9-D.Fales pass deep right intended for 10-K.Stills INTERCEPTED by 21-J.Poyer at BUF 28. 21-J.Poyer to BUF 29 for 1 yard.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Buffalo Bills7393022
Miami Dolphins00313016

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Taylor · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +13.31 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Parker · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +5.09 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Landry · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +4.88 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
  4. 4 K. Benjamin · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.50 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.17 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Thompson · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.21 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Clay · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.11 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
  7. 7 N. O'Leary · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.91 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.95 EPA/play
  8. 8 Z. Jones · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.51 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Taylor — BUF · Passing

T. Taylor posted the highest total EPA (+13.31) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Buffalo Bills's efficiency. Across 37 counted snaps, they averaged +0.36 EPA per play.

The signature play (+3.55 EPA) came from Buffalo Bills: (7:16) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass incomplete deep right to 10-D.Thompson. PENALTY on MIA-30-C.Tankersley, Defensive Pass Interference, 31 yards, enforced at MIA 32 - No Play.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Buffalo Bills — N. O'Leary (T. Taylor pass) (Q1 55:20)
  • Buffalo Bills — K. Williams (Q3 22:10)
  • Miami Dolphins — J. Landry (D. Fales pass) (Q4 6:21)
  • Miami Dolphins — D. Fales (Q4 2:00)

Field goals

  • Buffalo Bills — S. Hauschka (Q2 44:50)
  • Buffalo Bills — S. Hauschka (Q3 25:21)
  • Miami Dolphins — C. Parkey (Q3 17:34)
  • Buffalo Bills — S. Hauschka (Q4 11:45)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the MIA 26 (Q1 55:20) — (10:20) 5-T.Taylor pass deep right to 84-N.O'Leary for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q1 55:14) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the MIA 5 (Q2 44:50) — (14:50) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 9–3. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the MIA 31 (Q3 25:21) — (10:21) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the MIA 1 (Q3 22:10) — (7:10) 95-K.Williams and 72-R.Groy reported in as eligible. 95-K.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the BUF 18 (Q3 17:34) — (2:34) (Field Goal formation) 1-C.Parkey 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-16-M.Haack..

The fourth quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 13–3. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the MIA 15 (Q4 11:45) — (11:45) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q4 6:21); Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 9-D.Fales left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q4 1:56) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-16-M.Haack..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Miami Dolphins (Q4 0:56) — (:56) (Shotgun) 9-D.Fales pass deep right intended for 10-K.Stills INTERCEPTED by 21-J.Poyer at BUF 28. 21-J.Poyer to BUF 29 for 1 yard. [WPA -19.2% · EPA -1.73]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 1:56) — (Onside Kick formation) 1-C.Parkey kicks onside 2 yards from MIA 35 to MIA 37, impetus ends at MIA 43. RECOVERED by MIA-28-B.McCain. [WPA -18.9% · EPA -2.15]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q1 52:27) — (7:27) (Shotgun) 9-D.Fales pass short left to 11-D.Parker to BUF 22 for 7 yards (23-M.Hyde). [WPA +10.1% · EPA +2.58]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 56:33) — (11:33) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short middle to 10-D.Thompson to MIA 39 for 13 yards (22-T.McDonald). [WPA +8.1% · EPA +2.33]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 41:58) — (11:58) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass deep middle to 13-K.Benjamin to BUF 42 for 18 yards (20-R.Jones). PENALTY on MIA-35-W.Aikens, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 42. [WPA +7.3% · EPA +3.35]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 22:16) — (7:16) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass incomplete deep right to 10-D.Thompson. PENALTY on MIA-30-C.Tankersley, Defensive Pass Interference, 31 yards, enforced at MIA 32 - No Play. [WPA +2.6% · EPA +3.55]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q3 23:49) — (8:49) (Shotgun) 9-D.Fales pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on MIA-9-D.Fales, Intentional Grounding, 13 yards, enforced at BUF 37. [WPA -4.5% · EPA -3.50]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 41:58) — (11:58) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass deep middle to 13-K.Benjamin to BUF 42 for 18 yards (20-R.Jones). PENALTY on MIA-35-W.Aikens, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 42. [WPA +7.3% · EPA +3.35]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 55:20) — (10:20) 5-T.Taylor pass deep right to 84-N.O'Leary for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.7% · EPA +2.89]

Quarterback report card

D.Fales led all passers in efficiency for Miami Dolphins, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • D.Fales (Miami Dolphins) · 49 dropbacks · 59.2% completion · +3.7% CPOE · -0.04 EPA/play · -2.16 total EPA
  • T.Taylor (Buffalo Bills) · 37 dropbacks · 51.4% completion · +5.9% CPOE · +0.36 EPA/play · +13.31 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatBuffalo BillsMiami Dolphins
Offensive EPA/play+0.109-0.025
Offensive success rate42.9%43.5%
Pass EPA/play+0.360-0.065
Rush EPA/play-0.123+0.029
Defensive EPA/play+0.025-0.109
Defensive success rate56.5%57.1%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.11 vs -0.03), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Buffalo Bills: 11 drives, +9.17 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Miami Dolphins: 11 drives, -2.12 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • D. Fales (MIA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • T. Taylor (BUF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 55:20 · MIA 26 · Score 6-0
    (10:20) 5-T.Taylor pass deep right to 84-N.O'Leary for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 55:14 · MIA 15 · Score 7-0
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
  3. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 44:50 · MIA 5 · Score 10-0
    (14:50) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
  4. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 25:21 · MIA 31 · Score 13-0
    (10:21) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
  5. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 22:10 · MIA 1 · Score 19-0
    (7:10) 95-K.Williams and 72-R.Groy reported in as eligible. 95-K.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q3 17:34 · BUF 18 · Score 19-3
    (2:34) (Field Goal formation) 1-C.Parkey 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-16-M.Haack.
  7. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 11:45 · MIA 15 · Score 22-3
    (11:45) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
  8. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q4 6:21 · BUF 1 · Score 22-9
    (6:21) (Shotgun) 9-D.Fales pass short middle to 14-J.Landry for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIA-14-J.Landry, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced betwe
  9. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q4 2:00 · BUF 1 · Score 22-15
    (2:00) (Shotgun) 9-D.Fales left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q4 1:56 · BUF 15 · Score 22-16
    1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-16-M.Haack.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Miami Dolphins 22-16 in Week 17, 2017 on 2017-12-31.

What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins?

The final score was Buffalo Bills 22, Miami Dolphins 16 (BUF 22-16 MIA) in Week 17, 2017 on 2017-12-31.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins?

Q1: Buffalo Bills 7, Miami Dolphins 0; Q2: Buffalo Bills 3, Miami Dolphins 0; Q3: Buffalo Bills 9, Miami Dolphins 3; Q4: Buffalo Bills 3, Miami Dolphins 13; Final: Buffalo Bills 22, Miami Dolphins 16.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins?

Buffalo Bills touchdown — N. O'Leary (T. Taylor pass) (Q1 55:20) Buffalo Bills touchdown — K. Williams (Q3 22:10) Miami Dolphins touchdown — J. Landry (D. Fales pass) (Q4 6:21) Miami Dolphins touchdown — D. Fales (Q4 2:00) Buffalo Bills field goal — S. Hauschka (Q2 44:50, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — S. Hauschka (Q3 25:21, 3 pts) Miami Dolphins field goal — C. Parkey (Q3 17:34, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — S. Hauschka (Q4 11:45, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins?

D. Fales (Miami Dolphins), 59.2% completion, +3.7% CPOE, -0.04 EPA per dropback, -2.16 total passing EPA. T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills), 51.4% completion, +5.9% CPOE, +0.36 EPA per dropback, +13.31 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins?

T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills) led the game in total EPA with +13.31 on passing plays. across 37 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+3.55 EPA): (7:16) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass incomplete deep right to 10-D.Thompson. PENALTY on MIA-30-C.Tankersley, Defensive Pass Interference, 31 yards, enforced at MIA 32 - No Play.. The biggest win-probability swing was -19.2%.

Was Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins a close game?

Yes — the margin was 6 points. Buffalo Bills won 22-16 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Entered 8-7 Now 9-7 W

Miami Dolphins

Entered 6-9 Now 6-10 L