FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 23, 2023 · 12 min read

Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Chargers: 2023 Week 16 Recap

Bills defeat Chargers 24–22 in Week 16

Gabe Davis led Fantasy Impact as Bills prevailed in a 24–22 Week 16 finish.

Buffalo Bills 24 9–6 Winner
Final 24–22
Los Angeles Chargers 22 5–10
Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
24–22
Halftime
Buffalo Bills 20–10 Los Angeles Chargers
Top passer
Easton Stick
FantasyHQ MVP
Gabe Davis
Game date
December 23, 2023

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • Gabe Davis
    Gabe Davis 4 REC · 130 YDS · 1 TD +7.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Jonathan Allen
    Jonathan Allen 15/26 · 234 YDS · 2 TD +6.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Khalil Shakir
    Khalil Shakir 3 REC · 45 YDS · 1 TD +4.8 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Chargers

  • Alex Erickson
    Alex Erickson 2 REC · 26 YDS +2.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Stone Smartt
    Stone Smartt 1 REC · 23 YDS +2.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Gerald Everett
    Gerald Everett 7 REC · 42 YDS +2.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Buffalo Bills defeated the Los Angeles Chargers 24–22 in Week 16 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-12-23, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-28.6% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Buffalo Bills swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-12-23, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Los Angeles Chargers, pulling away with a 24–22 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 27 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

E. Stick (Los Angeles Chargers) paced the passing game, with -2.49 total EPA, and +1.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, G. Davis (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.28 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-28.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (7:19) 4-J.Cook up the middle to BUF 30 for 5 yards (32-A.Gilman). FUMBLES (32-A.Gilman), touched at BUF 30, RECOVERED by LAC-95-N.Williams at BUF 32.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Buffalo Bills02076024
Los Angeles Chargers3739022

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 G. Davis · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +7.28 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.21 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +6.17 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
  3. 3 K. Shakir · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.85 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.62 EPA/play
  4. 4 A. Erickson · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +2.79 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
  5. 5 S. Smartt · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +2.47 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.47 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Allen · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +2.26 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
  7. 7 G. Everett · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +2.24 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Knox · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.64 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

G. Davis — BUF · Receiving

G. Davis posted the highest total EPA (+7.28) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Buffalo Bills's efficiency. Across 6 counted snaps, they averaged +1.21 EPA per play.

The signature play (+6.70 EPA) came from Los Angeles Chargers: (:21) 16-J.Scott punts 57 yards to BUF 30, Center-47-J.Harris. 11-D.Harty to BUF 33 for 3 yards (24-A.Finley; 36-J.Taylor). FUMBLES (24-A.Finley), RECOVERED by LAC-57-A.Ogbongbemiga at BUF 27. Penalty on BUF-3-D.Hamlin,

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Los Angeles Chargers — E. Stick (Q2 43:54)
  • Buffalo Bills — G. Davis (J. Allen pass) (Q2 39:12)
  • Buffalo Bills — J. Allen (Q2 30:41)
  • Buffalo Bills — J. Allen (Q3 16:32)

Field goals

  • Los Angeles Chargers — C. Dicker (Q1 51:35)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — C. Dicker (Q3 22:26)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — C. Dicker (Q4 12:40)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — C. Dicker (Q4 7:23)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — C. Dicker (Q4 5:30)
  • Buffalo Bills — T. Bass (Q4 0:31)
  • Buffalo Bills — T. Bass (Q4 0:28)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 3–0. Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the BUF 2 (Q1 51:35) — (6:35) 11-C.Dicker 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott..

The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 20–7. Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q2 43:54) — (13:54) (Shotgun) 2-E.Stick right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 43:49) — 11-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LAC 57 (Q2 39:12) — (9:12) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 13-G.Davis for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q2 39:02) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LAC 2 (Q2 30:41) — (:41) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LAC 15 (Q2 30:38) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–3. Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the BUF 22 (Q3 22:26) — (7:26) 11-C.Dicker 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LAC 1 (Q3 16:32) — (1:32) 17-J.Allen up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q3 16:28) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin..

The fourth quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 9–6. Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the BUF 29 (Q4 12:40) — (12:40) 11-C.Dicker 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.; Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the BUF 27 (Q4 7:23) — (7:23) 11-C.Dicker 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.; Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the BUF 35 (Q4 5:30) — (5:30) 11-C.Dicker 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the LAC 11 (Q4 0:31); Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the BUF 35 (Q4 0:28) — 2-T.Bass kicks 51 yards from BUF 35 to LAC 14. 25-J.Kelley to LAC 30 for 16 yards (44-T.Matakevich; 54-B.Spector)..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 7:19) — (7:19) 4-J.Cook up the middle to BUF 30 for 5 yards (32-A.Gilman). FUMBLES (32-A.Gilman), touched at BUF 30, RECOVERED by LAC-95-N.Williams at BUF 32. [WPA -28.6% · EPA -5.15]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q4 0:01) — (:01) (Shotgun) 2-E.Stick pass short right to 5-J.Palmer to LAC 26 for 5 yards. Lateral to 30-A.Ekeler to LAC 24 for -2 yards. Lateral to 2-E.Stick to LAC 19 for -5 yards. Lateral to 82-A.Erickson to [WPA -15.0% · EPA +0.03]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 2:56) — (2:56) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs pushed ob at LAC 34 for 11 yards (27-E.Bassey). [WPA +13.8% · EPA +1.71]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 0:31) — (:31) 2-T.Bass 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin. Penalty on LAC-26-A.Samuel, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +13.5% · EPA +0.08]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q4 6:13) — (6:13) (Shotgun) 2-E.Stick sacked at BUF 35 for -8 yards (43-T.Bernard). [WPA -13.1% · EPA -1.90]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q1 45:21) — (:21) 16-J.Scott punts 57 yards to BUF 30, Center-47-J.Harris. 11-D.Harty to BUF 33 for 3 yards (24-A.Finley; 36-J.Taylor). FUMBLES (24-A.Finley), RECOVERED by LAC-57-A.Ogbongbemiga at BUF 27. Penalty [WPA +12.5% · EPA +6.70]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 7:19) — (7:19) 4-J.Cook up the middle to BUF 30 for 5 yards (32-A.Gilman). FUMBLES (32-A.Gilman), touched at BUF 30, RECOVERED by LAC-95-N.Williams at BUF 32. [WPA -28.6% · EPA -5.15]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 39:12) — (9:12) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 13-G.Davis for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.4% · EPA +4.70]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q1 53:32) — (8:32) (Shotgun) 2-E.Stick pass deep middle to 84-S.Smartt to BUF 9 for 23 yards (39-C.Lewis). [WPA +6.8% · EPA +2.47]

Quarterback report card

E.Stick led all passers in efficiency for Los Angeles Chargers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • E.Stick (Los Angeles Chargers) · 43 dropbacks · 53.5% completion · +1.1% CPOE · -0.06 EPA/play · -2.49 total EPA
  • J.Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 26 dropbacks · 57.7% completion · +8.0% CPOE · +0.24 EPA/play · +6.17 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatBuffalo BillsLos Angeles Chargers
Offensive EPA/play+0.003+0.009
Offensive success rate38.0%35.2%
Pass EPA/play+0.237-0.058
Rush EPA/play-0.214-0.199
Defensive EPA/play-0.009-0.003
Defensive success rate64.8%62.0%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Buffalo Bills +0.00, Los Angeles Chargers +0.01) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Buffalo Bills: 10 drives, +0.22 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Los Angeles Chargers: 12 drives, +0.76 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • G. Davis (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Allen (BUF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q1 51:35 · BUF 2 · Score 0-3
    (6:35) 11-C.Dicker 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  2. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q2 43:54 · BUF 1 · Score 0-9
    (13:54) (Shotgun) 2-E.Stick right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q2 43:49 · BUF 15 · Score 0-10
    11-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  4. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 39:12 · LAC 57 · Score 6-10
    (9:12) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 13-G.Davis for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 39:02 · LAC 15 · Score 7-10
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  6. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 30:41 · LAC 2 · Score 13-10
    (:41) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Buffalo Bills TD (+7) — Q2 30:38 · LAC 15 · Score 14-10
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  8. Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q3 22:26 · BUF 22 · Score 14-13
    (7:26) 11-C.Dicker 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  9. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 16:32 · LAC 1 · Score 20-13
    (1:32) 17-J.Allen up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 16:28 · LAC 15 · Score 21-13
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  11. Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q4 12:40 · BUF 29 · Score 21-16
    (12:40) 11-C.Dicker 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  12. Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q4 7:23 · BUF 27 · Score 21-19
    (7:23) 11-C.Dicker 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  13. Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q4 5:30 · BUF 35 · Score 21-22
    (5:30) 11-C.Dicker 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  14. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 0:31 · LAC 11 · Score 24-22
    (:31) 2-T.Bass 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin. Penalty on LAC-26-A.Samuel, Defensive Offside, declined.
  15. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 0:28 · BUF 35 · Score 24-22
    2-T.Bass kicks 51 yards from BUF 35 to LAC 14. 25-J.Kelley to LAC 30 for 16 yards (44-T.Matakevich; 54-B.Spector).

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Chargers?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Los Angeles Chargers 24-22 in Week 16, 2023 on 2023-12-23.

What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Chargers?

The final score was Buffalo Bills 24, Los Angeles Chargers 22 (BUF 24-22 LAC) in Week 16, 2023 on 2023-12-23.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Chargers?

Q1: Buffalo Bills 0, Los Angeles Chargers 3; Q2: Buffalo Bills 20, Los Angeles Chargers 7; Q3: Buffalo Bills 7, Los Angeles Chargers 3; Q4: Buffalo Bills 6, Los Angeles Chargers 9; Final: Buffalo Bills 24, Los Angeles Chargers 22.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Chargers?

Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — E. Stick (Q2 43:54) Buffalo Bills touchdown — G. Davis (J. Allen pass) (Q2 39:12) Buffalo Bills touchdown — J. Allen (Q2 30:41) Buffalo Bills touchdown — J. Allen (Q3 16:32) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — C. Dicker (Q1 51:35, 3 pts) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — C. Dicker (Q3 22:26, 3 pts) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — C. Dicker (Q4 12:40, 3 pts) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — C. Dicker (Q4 7:23, 3 pts) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — C. Dicker (Q4 5:30, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — T. Bass (Q4 0:31, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — T. Bass (Q4 0:28, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Chargers?

E. Stick (Los Angeles Chargers), 53.5% completion, +1.1% CPOE, -0.06 EPA per dropback, -2.49 total passing EPA. J. Allen (Buffalo Bills), 57.7% completion, +8.0% CPOE, +0.24 EPA per dropback, +6.17 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Chargers?

G. Davis (Buffalo Bills) led the game in total EPA with +7.28 on receiving plays. across 6 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.70 EPA): (:21) 16-J.Scott punts 57 yards to BUF 30, Center-47-J.Harris. 11-D.Harty to BUF 33 for 3 yards (24-A.Finley; 36-J.Taylor). FUMBLES (24-A.Finley), RECOVERED by LAC-57-A.Ogbongbemig. The biggest win-probability swing was -28.6%.

Was Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Chargers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 2 points. Buffalo Bills won 24-22 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Entered 8-6 Now 9-6 W

Los Angeles Chargers

Entered 5-9 Now 5-10 L