Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams: 2024 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-12-08, the Los Angeles Rams took care of business against the Buffalo Bills, pulling away with a 44–42 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 33 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with +30.43 total EPA, and -5.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +30.43 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-15.6% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (12:38) 8-S.Martin punt is BLOCKED by 35-J.Hummel, Center-69-R.Ferguson, RECOVERED by LA-84-H.Long at BUF 22. 84-H.Long for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +30.43 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Stafford · Los Angeles Rams · Passing · +27.31 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
3. 3 P. Nacua · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +14.93 total EPA · 14 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play
4. 4 K. Shakir · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +7.02 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Kupp · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +6.41 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Atwell · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +4.86 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.62 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Hollins · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.84 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
8. 8 Ty. Johnson · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.60 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Los Angeles Rams — K. Williams (Q1 53:29)
• Buffalo Bills — J. Allen (Q1 48:27)
• Los Angeles Rams — H. Long (Q2 42:38)
• Buffalo Bills — J. Allen (Q2 40:32)
• Los Angeles Rams — P. Nacua (Q2 32:39)
• Los Angeles Rams — K. Williams (Q3 23:31)
• Buffalo Bills — K. Shakir (J. Allen pass) (Q3 19:04)
• Los Angeles Rams — C. Kupp (M. Stafford pass) (Q3 15:22)
• Buffalo Bills — J. Allen (Q4 14:29)
• Buffalo Bills — M. Hollins (J. Allen pass) (Q4 8:53)
• Los Angeles Rams — P. Nacua (M. Stafford pass) (Q4 2:00)
• Buffalo Bills — J. Allen (Q4 1:02)

Field goals

• Los Angeles Rams — J. Karty (Q2 43:40)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the BUF 3 (Q1 53:29) — (8:29) (Shotgun) 23-K.Williams left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q1 53:26) — 16-J.Karty extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 1 (Q1 48:27) — (3:27) 17-J.Allen up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LA-95-B.Brown, Defensive Offside, declined.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q1 48:22) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin..

The second quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 23–7. Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the BUF 3 (Q2 43:40) — (13:40) 16-J.Karty 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the LA 52 (Q2 42:38); Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 42:29) — 16-J.Karty extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 41 (Q2 40:32) — (10:32) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 26-Ty.Johnson for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q2 40:23) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the BUF 4 (Q2 32:39) — (2:39) 17-P.Nacua left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the BUF 15 (Q2 32:36) — 16-J.Karty extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans..

The third quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 14–7. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the BUF 7 (Q3 23:31) — (8:31) 23-K.Williams right end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q3 23:26) — 16-J.Karty extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 51 (Q3 19:04) — (4:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q3 18:54) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the BUF 17 (Q3 15:22); Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q3 15:18) — 16-J.Karty extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 27–6. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 1 (Q4 14:29) — (14:29) (No Huddle) 17-J.Allen left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q4 14:27) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 21 (Q4 8:53) — (8:53) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 13-M.Hollins for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q4 8:49) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the BUF 19 (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 17-P.Nacua for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 1 (Q4 1:02); Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 30 (Q4 1:00) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Buffalo Bills (Q2 42:38) — (12:38) 8-S.Martin punt is BLOCKED by 35-J.Hummel, Center-69-R.Ferguson, RECOVERED by LA-84-H.Long at BUF 22. 84-H.Long for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -15.6% · EPA -6.50]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 40:32) — (10:32) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 26-Ty.Johnson for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.9% · EPA +3.65]
• Los Angeles Rams (Q4 3:53) — (3:53) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 5-T.Atwell to BUF 24 for 11 yards (9-T.Rapp). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +2.81]
• Los Angeles Rams (Q4 0:07) — (:07) 42-E.Evans punts 42 yards to end zone, Center-47-A.Ward, Touchback. [WPA +9.1% · EPA -0.38]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 19:04) — (4:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.0% · EPA +5.90]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Buffalo Bills (Q2 42:38) — (12:38) 8-S.Martin punt is BLOCKED by 35-J.Hummel, Center-69-R.Ferguson, RECOVERED by LA-84-H.Long at BUF 22. 84-H.Long for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -15.6% · EPA -6.50]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 19:04) — (4:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.0% · EPA +5.90]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 1:24) — (1:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep middle to 10-K.Shakir [91-K.Turner]. PENALTY on LA-37-Q.Lake, Defensive Pass Interference, 34 yards, enforced at 50 - No Play. [WPA +5.5% · EPA +4.40]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 40:32) — (10:32) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 26-Ty.Johnson for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.9% · EPA +3.65]

Quarterback report card

J.Allen led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 45 dropbacks · 48.9% completion · -5.6% CPOE · +0.68 EPA/play · +30.43 total EPA
• M.Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) · 35 dropbacks · 65.7% completion · +7.8% CPOE · +0.78 EPA/play · +27.31 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Buffalo Bills +0.31, Los Angeles Rams +0.26) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Buffalo Bills: 9 drives, +24.68 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Los Angeles Rams: 10 drives, +24.84 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Los Angeles Rams leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Allen (BUF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• M. Stafford (LA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q1 53:29 · BUF 3 · Score 0-6
   (8:29) (Shotgun) 23-K.Williams left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q1 53:26 · BUF 15 · Score 0-7
   16-J.Karty extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
3. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 48:27 · LA 1 · Score 6-7
   (3:27) 17-J.Allen up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LA-95-B.Brown, Defensive Offside, declined.
4. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 48:22 · LA 15 · Score 7-7
   2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
5. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q2 43:40 · BUF 3 · Score 7-10
   (13:40) 16-J.Karty 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
6. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q2 42:38 · LA 52 · Score 7-16
   (12:38) 8-S.Martin punt is BLOCKED by 35-J.Hummel, Center-69-R.Ferguson, RECOVERED by LA-84-H.Long at BUF 22. 84-H.Long for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q2 42:29 · BUF 15 · Score 7-17
   16-J.Karty extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
8. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 40:32 · LA 41 · Score 13-17
   (10:32) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 26-Ty.Johnson for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 40:23 · LA 15 · Score 14-17
   2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
10. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q2 32:39 · BUF 4 · Score 14-23
    (2:39) 17-P.Nacua left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Los Angeles Rams TD (+7) — Q2 32:36 · BUF 15 · Score 14-24
    16-J.Karty extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
12. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q3 23:31 · BUF 7 · Score 14-30
    (8:31) 23-K.Williams right end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q3 23:26 · BUF 15 · Score 14-31
    16-J.Karty extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
14. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 19:04 · LA 51 · Score 20-31
    (4:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 18:54 · LA 15 · Score 21-31
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
16. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q3 15:22 · BUF 17 · Score 21-37
    (:22) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 10-C.Kupp for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. BUF-31-R.Douglas was injured during the play. ** Injury Update: LA-15-D.Robi
17. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q3 15:18 · BUF 15 · Score 21-38
    16-J.Karty extra point is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
18. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 14:29 · LA 1 · Score 27-38
    (14:29) (No Huddle) 17-J.Allen left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
19. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 14:27 · LA 15 · Score 28-38
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
20. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 8:53 · LA 21 · Score 34-38
    (8:53) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 13-M.Hollins for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
21. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 8:49 · LA 15 · Score 35-38
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
22. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q4 2:00 · BUF 19 · Score 35-44
    (2:00) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 17-P.Nacua for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
23. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 1:02 · LA 1 · Score 41-44
    (1:02) 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on BUF-73-D.Dawkins, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforce
24. Buffalo Bills TD (+7) — Q4 1:00 · LA 30 · Score 42-44
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.