FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 1 · September 8, 2022 · 11 min read

Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams: 2022 Week 1 Recap

Bills defeat Rams 31–10 in Week 1

Jonathan Allen led Fantasy Impact as Bills prevailed in a 31–10 Week 1 finish.

Buffalo Bills 31 1–0 Winner
Final 31–10
Los Angeles Rams 10 0–1
Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
31–10
Halftime
Tied 10–10 at halftime
Top passer
Matthew Stafford
FantasyHQ MVP
Jonathan Allen
Game date
September 8, 2022

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • Jonathan Allen
    Jonathan Allen 26/38 · 332 YDS · 4 TD +20.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Stefon Diggs
    Stefon Diggs 8 REC · 122 YDS · 1 TD +10.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Gabe Davis
    Gabe Davis 4 REC · 88 YDS · 1 TD +7.4 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Rams

  • Cooper Kupp
    Cooper Kupp 13 REC · 128 YDS · 1 TD +7.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Brandon Powell
    Brandon Powell 1 REC · 10 YDS +0.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Ben Skowronek
    Ben Skowronek 4 REC · 25 YDS -0.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Buffalo Bills defeated the Los Angeles Rams 31–10 in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-09-08, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-12.6% win probability) came in the second quarter when Buffalo Bills swung the momentum.

In Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-09-08, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Los Angeles Rams, pulling away with a 31–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) paced the passing game, with -15.42 total EPA, and -0.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +20.13 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-12.6% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (2:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle intended for 80-J.Crowder INTERCEPTED by 2-T.Hill at 50. 2-T.Hill to BUF 45 for 5 yards (80-J.Crowder).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Buffalo Bills73714031
Los Angeles Rams01000010

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +20.13 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
  2. 2 S. Diggs · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +10.83 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play
  3. 3 G. Davis · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +7.43 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.49 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Kupp · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +7.20 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Singletary · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.05 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Singletary · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +1.03 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
  7. 7 B. Powell · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +0.82 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Knox · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +0.80 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Allen — BUF · Passing

J. Allen posted the highest total EPA (+20.13) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Buffalo Bills's efficiency. Across 38 counted snaps, they averaged +0.53 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.05 EPA) came from Los Angeles Rams: (7:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle intended for 89-T.Higbee INTERCEPTED by 55-C.Basham at LA 43. 55-C.Basham to LA 22 for 21 yards (9-M.Stafford). PENALTY on BUF-30-D.Jackson, Taunting, 15 yards,

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Buffalo Bills — G. Davis (J. Allen pass) (Q1 55:03)
  • Los Angeles Rams — C. Kupp (M. Stafford pass) (Q2 33:05)
  • Buffalo Bills — I. McKenzie (J. Allen pass) (Q3 23:02)
  • Buffalo Bills — J. Allen (Q4 13:34)
  • Buffalo Bills — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q4 9:33)

Field goals

  • Buffalo Bills — T. Bass (Q2 38:51)
  • Los Angeles Rams — M. Gay (Q2 30:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 26 (Q1 55:03) — (10:03) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 13-G.Davis for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q1 54:56) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin..

The second quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 10–3. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the LA 23 (Q2 38:51) — (8:51) 2-T.Bass 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the BUF 4 (Q2 33:05) — (3:05) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 10-C.Kupp for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 33:00) — 8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon.; Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the BUF 39 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) 8-M.Gay 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 7 (Q3 23:02) — (8:02) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 6-I.McKenzie for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q3 22:59) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 14–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 4 (Q4 13:34) — (13:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q4 13:27) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 53 (Q4 9:33) — (9:33) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 14-S.Diggs for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q4 9:25) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle intended for 80-J.Crowder INTERCEPTED by 2-T.Hill at 50. 2-T.Hill to BUF 45 for 5 yards (80-J.Crowder). [WPA -12.6% · EPA -4.59]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 43:36) — (13:36) (Shotgun) 28-J.Cook right tackle to BUF 37 for 3 yards (53-E.Jones; 33-N.Scott). FUMBLES (53-E.Jones), RECOVERED by LA-54-L.Floyd at BUF 36. [WPA -11.7% · EPA -4.83]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 42:57) — (12:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 89-T.Higbee INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Jackson [57-A.Epenesa] at BUF 30. 30-D.Jackson to BUF 32 for 2 yards (89-T.Higbee). [WPA -11.1% · EPA -4.90]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 25:34) — (10:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles up the middle pushed ob at LA 35 for 8 yards (33-N.Scott). [WPA +10.9% · EPA +2.03]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 30:26) — (:26) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 10-C.Kupp to BUF 39 for -1 yards (40-V.Miller). [WPA -10.3% · EPA -0.45]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Los Angeles Rams (Q4 7:06) — (7:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle intended for 89-T.Higbee INTERCEPTED by 55-C.Basham at LA 43. 55-C.Basham to LA 22 for 21 yards (9-M.Stafford). PENALTY on BUF-30-D.Jackson, [WPA -0.1% · EPA -6.05]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 9:33) — (9:33) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 14-S.Diggs for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +1.6% · EPA +5.41]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 45:45) — (:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right intended for 6-I.McKenzie INTERCEPTED by 52-T.Lewis at LA 24. 52-T.Lewis to LA 24 for no gain (6-I.McKenzie). [WPA -9.8% · EPA -5.01]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 42:57) — (12:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 89-T.Higbee INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Jackson [57-A.Epenesa] at BUF 30. 30-D.Jackson to BUF 32 for 2 yards (89-T.Higbee). [WPA -11.1% · EPA -4.90]

Quarterback report card

M.Stafford led all passers in efficiency for Los Angeles Rams, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) · 50 dropbacks · 58.0% completion · -0.6% CPOE · -0.31 EPA/play · -15.42 total EPA
  • J.Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 38 dropbacks · 68.4% completion · +11.3% CPOE · +0.53 EPA/play · +20.13 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatBuffalo BillsLos Angeles Rams
Offensive EPA/play+0.138-0.232
Offensive success rate52.2%39.0%
Pass EPA/play+0.530-0.308
Rush EPA/play-0.533-0.084
Defensive EPA/play+0.232-0.138
Defensive success rate61.0%47.8%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.14 vs -0.23), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Buffalo Bills: 10 drives, +9.49 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Los Angeles Rams: 10 drives, -19.05 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Allen (BUF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 55:03 · LA 26 · Score 6-0
    (10:03) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 13-G.Davis for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 54:56 · LA 15 · Score 7-0
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  3. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 38:51 · LA 23 · Score 10-0
    (8:51) 2-T.Bass 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  4. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q2 33:05 · BUF 4 · Score 10-6
    (3:05) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 10-C.Kupp for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q2 33:00 · BUF 15 · Score 10-7
    8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon.
  6. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · BUF 39 · Score 10-10
    (:04) 8-M.Gay 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-11-R.Dixon.
  7. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 23:02 · LA 7 · Score 16-10
    (8:02) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 6-I.McKenzie for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 22:59 · LA 15 · Score 17-10
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  9. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 13:34 · LA 4 · Score 23-10
    (13:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 13:27 · LA 15 · Score 24-10
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  11. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 9:33 · LA 53 · Score 30-10
    (9:33) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 14-S.Diggs for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 9:25 · LA 15 · Score 31-10
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Los Angeles Rams 31-10 in Week 1, 2022 on 2022-09-08.

What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams?

The final score was Buffalo Bills 31, Los Angeles Rams 10 (BUF 31-10 LA) in Week 1, 2022 on 2022-09-08.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams?

Q1: Buffalo Bills 7, Los Angeles Rams 0; Q2: Buffalo Bills 3, Los Angeles Rams 10; Q3: Buffalo Bills 7, Los Angeles Rams 0; Q4: Buffalo Bills 14, Los Angeles Rams 0; Final: Buffalo Bills 31, Los Angeles Rams 10.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams?

Buffalo Bills touchdown — G. Davis (J. Allen pass) (Q1 55:03) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — C. Kupp (M. Stafford pass) (Q2 33:05) Buffalo Bills touchdown — I. McKenzie (J. Allen pass) (Q3 23:02) Buffalo Bills touchdown — J. Allen (Q4 13:34) Buffalo Bills touchdown — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q4 9:33) Buffalo Bills field goal — T. Bass (Q2 38:51, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — M. Gay (Q2 30:04, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams?

M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams), 58.0% completion, -0.6% CPOE, -0.31 EPA per dropback, -15.42 total passing EPA. J. Allen (Buffalo Bills), 68.4% completion, +11.3% CPOE, +0.53 EPA per dropback, +20.13 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams?

J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) led the game in total EPA with +20.13 on passing plays. across 38 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.05 EPA): (7:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle intended for 89-T.Higbee INTERCEPTED by 55-C.Basham at LA 43. 55-C.Basham to LA 22 for 21 yards (9-M.Stafford). PENALTY o. The biggest win-probability swing was -12.6%.

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Now 1-0 W

Los Angeles Rams

Now 0-1 L