FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 5 · October 9, 2016 · 12 min read

Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams: 2016 Week 5 Recap

Bills defeat Rams 30–19 in Week 5

K.J. Britt led Fantasy Impact as Bills prevailed in a 30–19 Week 5 finish.

Buffalo Bills 30 3–2 Winner
Final 30–19
Los Angeles Rams 19 3–2
Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
30–19
Halftime
Buffalo Bills 16–13 Los Angeles Rams
Top passer
Case Keenum
FantasyHQ MVP
K.J. Britt
Game date
October 9, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • C.Clay 5 REC · 73 YDS +5.0 Fantasy Impact
  • L.McCoy 18 CAR · 150 YDS +3.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Jarquez Hunter
    Jarquez Hunter 1 REC · 4 YDS · 1 TD +2.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Rams

  • K.J. Britt
    K.J. Britt 5 REC · 75 YDS +5.2 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Quick 3 REC · 51 YDS +2.9 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Austin 3 CAR · 26 YDS +2.3 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Buffalo Bills defeated the Los Angeles Rams 30–19 in Week 5 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-10-09, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-27.9% win probability) came in the third quarter when Los Angeles Rams swung the momentum.

In Week 5 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-10-09, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Los Angeles Rams, pulling away with a 30–19 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 19 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Keenum (Los Angeles Rams) paced the passing game, with -8.61 total EPA, and -1.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, K. Britt (Los Angeles Rams) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.19 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-27.9% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Los Angeles Rams changed the game: (4:05) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass short right intended for 10-P.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 21-N.Robey-Coleman at LA 41. 21-N.Robey-Coleman for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Buffalo Bills7977030
Los Angeles Rams31033019

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 K. Britt · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +5.19 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play
  2. 2 C. Clay · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.02 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
  3. 3 L. McCoy · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +3.74 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  4. 4 B. Quick · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +2.90 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Hunter · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.56 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.56 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Austin · Los Angeles Rams · Rushing · +2.33 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Brown · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +1.85 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.85 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Felton · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +0.89 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.89 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

K. Britt — LA · Receiving

K. Britt posted the highest total EPA (+5.19) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Los Angeles Rams's efficiency. Across 6 counted snaps, they averaged +0.86 EPA per play.

The signature play (-7.88 EPA) came from Los Angeles Rams: (4:05) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass short right intended for 10-P.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 21-N.Robey-Coleman at LA 41. 21-N.Robey-Coleman for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Buffalo Bills — J. Hunter (T. Taylor pass) (Q1 47:32)
  • Buffalo Bills — M. Gillislee (Q2 44:05)
  • Los Angeles Rams — T. Gurley (Q2 32:00)
  • Buffalo Bills — N. Robey-Coleman (Q3 19:05)
  • Buffalo Bills — M. Goodwin (T. Taylor pass) (Q4 2:43)

Field goals

  • Los Angeles Rams — G. Zuerlein (Q1 54:36)
  • Los Angeles Rams — G. Zuerlein (Q2 37:49)
  • Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter (Q2 30:03)
  • Los Angeles Rams — G. Zuerlein (Q3 23:11)
  • Los Angeles Rams — G. Zuerlein (Q4 5:55)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–3. Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the BUF 19 (Q1 54:36) — (9:36) 4-G.Zuerlein 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 4 (Q1 47:32); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q1 47:22) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

The second quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 10–9. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 5 (Q2 44:05) — (14:05) (Shotgun) 35-M.Gillislee right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the BUF 13 (Q2 37:49) — (7:49) 4-G.Zuerlein 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 64-A.Donnal reported in as eligible. 30-T.Gurley right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 31:56) — 4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the LA 5 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 2-D.Carpenter 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–3. Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the BUF 36 (Q3 23:11) — (8:11) 4-G.Zuerlein 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BUF 69 (Q3 19:05); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q3 18:54) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–3. Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the BUF 4 (Q4 5:55) — (5:55) 4-G.Zuerlein 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LA 6 (Q4 2:43) — (2:43) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short left to 88-M.Goodwin for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [25-T.McDonald].; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q4 2:37) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Los Angeles Rams (Q3 19:05) — (4:05) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass short right intended for 10-P.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 21-N.Robey-Coleman at LA 41. 21-N.Robey-Coleman for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -27.9% · EPA -7.88]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 21:37) — (6:37) 6-C.Schmidt punts 51 yards to LA 23, Center-65-G.Sanborn. 11-T.Austin ran ob at LA 40 for 17 yards (36-J.Meeks). PENALTY on LA-59-J.Forrest, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 26 - [WPA +12.2% · EPA +3.48]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 52:16) — (7:16) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor scrambles up the middle to LA 48 for 22 yards (22-T.Johnson). [WPA +11.6% · EPA +3.15]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 45:10) — (:10) (Shotgun) 30-T.Gurley up the middle to BUF 38 for 1 yard (56-L.McCray). FUMBLES (56-L.McCray), RECOVERED by BUF-20-C.Graham at BUF 37. 20-C.Graham to BUF 37 for no gain (88-L.Kendricks). [WPA -10.5% · EPA -3.98]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 46:38) — (1:38) 17-C.Keenum pass short right to 18-K.Britt to BUF 30 for 28 yards (20-C.Graham). [WPA +10.1% · EPA +2.13]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Los Angeles Rams (Q3 19:05) — (4:05) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass short right intended for 10-P.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 21-N.Robey-Coleman at LA 41. 21-N.Robey-Coleman for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -27.9% · EPA -7.88]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 45:10) — (:10) (Shotgun) 30-T.Gurley up the middle to BUF 38 for 1 yard (56-L.McCray). FUMBLES (56-L.McCray), RECOVERED by BUF-20-C.Graham at BUF 37. 20-C.Graham to BUF 37 for no gain (88-L.Kendricks). [WPA -10.5% · EPA -3.98]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 44:52) — (14:52) (Shotgun) 25-L.McCoy up the middle to LA 5 for 53 yards (33-E.Gaines). [WPA +7.0% · EPA +3.67]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 21:37) — (6:37) 6-C.Schmidt punts 51 yards to LA 23, Center-65-G.Sanborn. 11-T.Austin ran ob at LA 40 for 17 yards (36-J.Meeks). PENALTY on LA-59-J.Forrest, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 26 - [WPA +12.2% · EPA +3.48]

Quarterback report card

C.Keenum led all passers in efficiency for Los Angeles Rams, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • C.Keenum (Los Angeles Rams) · 37 dropbacks · 56.8% completion · -1.3% CPOE · -0.23 EPA/play · -8.61 total EPA
  • T.Taylor (Buffalo Bills) · 29 dropbacks · 41.4% completion · -1.5% CPOE · +0.03 EPA/play · +0.83 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatBuffalo BillsLos Angeles Rams
Offensive EPA/play+0.021-0.134
Offensive success rate40.8%47.0%
Pass EPA/play+0.028-0.233
Rush EPA/play+0.055-0.136
Defensive EPA/play+0.134-0.021
Defensive success rate53.0%59.2%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.13), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Buffalo Bills: 12 drives, +1.61 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Los Angeles Rams: 11 drives, -11.12 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • K. Britt (Los Angeles Rams) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q1 54:36 · BUF 19 · Score 0-3
    (9:36) 4-G.Zuerlein 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  2. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 47:32 · LA 4 · Score 6-3
    (2:32) 5-T.Taylor pass short left to 17-J.Hunter for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The r
  3. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 47:22 · LA 15 · Score 7-3
    2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
  4. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 44:05 · LA 5 · Score 13-3
    (14:05) (Shotgun) 35-M.Gillislee right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q2 37:49 · BUF 13 · Score 13-6
    (7:49) 4-G.Zuerlein 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  6. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q2 32:00 · BUF 1 · Score 13-12
    (2:00) 64-A.Donnal reported in as eligible. 30-T.Gurley right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q2 31:56 · BUF 15 · Score 13-13
    4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  8. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · LA 5 · Score 16-13
    (:03) 2-D.Carpenter 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
  9. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q3 23:11 · BUF 36 · Score 16-16
    (8:11) 4-G.Zuerlein 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  10. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 19:05 · BUF 69 · Score 22-16
    (4:05) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass short right intended for 10-P.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 21-N.Robey-Coleman at LA 41. 21-N.Robey-Coleman for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 18:54 · LA 15 · Score 23-16
    2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
  12. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q4 5:55 · BUF 4 · Score 23-19
    (5:55) 4-G.Zuerlein 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  13. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 2:43 · LA 6 · Score 29-19
    (2:43) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short left to 88-M.Goodwin for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [25-T.McDonald].
  14. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 2:37 · LA 15 · Score 30-19
    2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Los Angeles Rams 30-19 in Week 5, 2016 on 2016-10-09.

What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams?

The final score was Buffalo Bills 30, Los Angeles Rams 19 (BUF 30-19 LA) in Week 5, 2016 on 2016-10-09.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams?

Q1: Buffalo Bills 7, Los Angeles Rams 3; Q2: Buffalo Bills 9, Los Angeles Rams 10; Q3: Buffalo Bills 7, Los Angeles Rams 3; Q4: Buffalo Bills 7, Los Angeles Rams 3; Final: Buffalo Bills 30, Los Angeles Rams 19.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams?

Buffalo Bills touchdown — J. Hunter (T. Taylor pass) (Q1 47:32) Buffalo Bills touchdown — M. Gillislee (Q2 44:05) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — T. Gurley (Q2 32:00) Buffalo Bills touchdown — N. Robey-Coleman (Q3 19:05) Buffalo Bills touchdown — M. Goodwin (T. Taylor pass) (Q4 2:43) Los Angeles Rams field goal — G. Zuerlein (Q1 54:36, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — G. Zuerlein (Q2 37:49, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — D. Carpenter (Q2 30:03, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — G. Zuerlein (Q3 23:11, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — G. Zuerlein (Q4 5:55, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams?

C. Keenum (Los Angeles Rams), 56.8% completion, -1.3% CPOE, -0.23 EPA per dropback, -8.61 total passing EPA. T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills), 41.4% completion, -1.5% CPOE, +0.03 EPA per dropback, +0.83 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams?

K. Britt (Los Angeles Rams) led the game in total EPA with +5.19 on receiving plays. across 6 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.88 EPA): (4:05) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass short right intended for 10-P.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 21-N.Robey-Coleman at LA 41. 21-N.Robey-Coleman for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -27.9%.

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Entered 2-2 Now 3-2 W

Los Angeles Rams

Entered 3-1 Now 3-2 L