Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2009 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-12-13, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Kansas City Chiefs, pulling away with a 16–10 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Cassel (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with -17.75 total EPA, and +2.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Charles (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.20 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-21.4% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: (2:20) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass deep middle intended for 11-C.Chambers INTERCEPTED by 31-J.Byrd at BUF 5. 31-J.Byrd to BUF 23 for 18 yards.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Charles · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +5.20 total EPA · 20 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
2. 2 B. Cottam · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.08 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.08 EPA/play
3. 3 L. Pope · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.36 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
4. 4 B. Wade · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.30 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Lynch · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +1.15 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Owens · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +0.90 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
7. 7 F. Jackson · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +0.87 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Stupar · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +0.77 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.77 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Buffalo Bills — T. Owens (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q1 45:13)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Charles (Q3 18:04)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — R. Succop (Q2 40:29)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q2 31:14)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q3 18:14)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q4 8:06)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the KC 9 (Q1 45:13) — (:13) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 81-T.Owens for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the KC 2 (Q1 45:04) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the BUF 3 (Q2 40:29) — (10:29) 6-R.Succop 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the KC 23 (Q2 31:14) — (1:14) 9-R.Lindell 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The third quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–3. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the KC 6 (Q3 18:14) — (3:14) 9-R.Lindell 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the BUF 76 (Q3 18:04) — (3:04) (Shotgun) 25-J.Charles left tackle for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q3 17:53) — 6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the KC 18 (Q4 8:06) — (8:06) 9-R.Lindell 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 2:20) — (2:20) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass deep middle intended for 11-C.Chambers INTERCEPTED by 31-J.Byrd at BUF 5. 31-J.Byrd to BUF 23 for 18 yards. [WPA -21.4% · EPA -2.83]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 18:04) — (3:04) (Shotgun) 25-J.Charles left tackle for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +19.1% · EPA +6.04]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 11:32) — (11:32) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass short right intended for 11-C.Chambers INTERCEPTED by 51-P.Posluszny at BUF 48. 51-P.Posluszny to KC 35 for 17 yards (74-W.Smith). Kansas City challenged the runner w [WPA -18.0% · EPA -4.89]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 3:45) — (3:45) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass incomplete deep right to 17-L.Long. PENALTY on BUF-31-J.Byrd, Defensive Pass Interference, 20 yards, enforced at BUF 41 - No Play. Penalty on BUF-20-D.Whitner, Defensi [WPA +18.0% · EPA +2.22]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 51:00) — (6:00) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at BUF 9 for -7 yards (50-M.Vrabel). FUMBLES (50-M.Vrabel), RECOVERED by KC-95-R.Edwards at BUF 9. 95-R.Edwards to BUF 9 for no gain (73-K.Chambers). [WPA -14.2% · EPA -4.19]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Buffalo Bills (Q3 25:38) — (10:38) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right intended for 83-L.Evans INTERCEPTED by 24-B.Flowers at KC -8. Touchback. [WPA -12.7% · EPA -6.07]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 18:04) — (3:04) (Shotgun) 25-J.Charles left tackle for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +19.1% · EPA +6.04]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 11:32) — (11:32) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass short right intended for 11-C.Chambers INTERCEPTED by 51-P.Posluszny at BUF 48. 51-P.Posluszny to KC 35 for 17 yards (74-W.Smith). Kansas City challenged the runner w [WPA -18.0% · EPA -4.89]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 27:35) — (12:35) 7-M.Cassel pass deep right intended for 83-M.Bradley INTERCEPTED by 24-T.McGee at KC 27. 24-T.McGee to KC 24 for 3 yards (25-J.Charles). [WPA -9.3% · EPA -4.31]

Quarterback report card

M.Cassel led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Cassel (Kansas City Chiefs) · 49 dropbacks · 53.1% completion · +2.0% CPOE · -0.36 EPA/play · -17.75 total EPA
• R.Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills) · 25 dropbacks · 48.0% completion · -1.3% CPOE · -0.60 EPA/play · -14.88 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.13 vs -0.20), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Buffalo Bills: 12 drives, -9.55 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 13 drives, -18.32 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Charles (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 45:13 · KC 9 · Score 6-0
   (:13) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 81-T.Owens for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 45:04 · KC 2 · Score 7-0
   9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
3. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 40:29 · BUF 3 · Score 7-3
   (10:29) 6-R.Succop 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
4. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 31:14 · KC 23 · Score 10-3
   (1:14) 9-R.Lindell 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
5. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 18:14 · KC 6 · Score 13-3
   (3:14) 9-R.Lindell 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
6. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 18:04 · BUF 76 · Score 13-9
   (3:04) (Shotgun) 25-J.Charles left tackle for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 17:53 · BUF 2 · Score 13-10
   6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
8. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 8:06 · KC 18 · Score 16-10
   (8:06) 9-R.Lindell 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.