Game story
In Week 10 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-11-12, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Buffalo Bills, pulling away with a 17–16 final that came down to the wire.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with -5.90 total EPA, and -3.5% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, L. Evans (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.89 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-25.7% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (9:08) 33-D.Rhodes right end to IND 49 for 4 yards (94-A.Schobel). FUMBLES (94-A.Schobel), touched at IND 49, RECOVERED by BUF-22-N.Clements at IND 49. 22-N.Clements to IND 41 for 8 yards (63-J.Saturd
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 L. Evans · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +9.89 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.98 EPA/play
- 2 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +5.01 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play
- 3 J. Addai · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +2.46 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
- 4 B. Moorman · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +2.41 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.41 EPA/play
- 5 J. Addai · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.33 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
- 6 P. Price · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.55 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
- 7 J. Losman · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +1.35 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
- 8 D. Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.03 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
L. Evans — BUF · Receiving
L. Evans posted the highest total EPA (+9.89) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Buffalo Bills's efficiency. Across 5 counted snaps, they averaged +1.98 EPA per play.
The signature play (-9.31 EPA) came from Indianapolis Colts: (:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 86-B.Utecht to BUF 34 for 9 yards (55-A.Crowell). FUMBLES (55-A.Crowell), touched at BUF 32, RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 32. 24-T.McGee for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Indianapolis Colts — R. Wayne (P. Manning pass)
- Buffalo Bills — B. Utecht (P. Manning pass)
- Indianapolis Colts — J. Addai
Field goals
- Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell
- Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri
- Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell
- Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the IND 4 (Q1 51:54) — (6:54) 9-R.Lindell 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman. Penalty on IND, Defensive 12 On-field, declined..
The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q2 41:14) — (11:14) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 41:09) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the BUF 13 (Q2 32:48) — (2:48) 4-A.Vinatieri 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BUF 43 (Q2 30:46); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 30:31) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman..
The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–3. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the BUF 5 (Q3 25:35) — (10:35) 29-J.Addai up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q3 25:30) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the IND 12 (Q3 23:50) — (8:50) 9-R.Lindell 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman..
The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the IND 25 (Q4 10:40) — (10:40) 9-R.Lindell 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 9:08) — (9:08) 33-D.Rhodes right end to IND 49 for 4 yards (94-A.Schobel). FUMBLES (94-A.Schobel), touched at IND 49, RECOVERED by BUF-22-N.Clements at IND 49. 22-N.Clements to IND 41 for 8 yards (63-J.Saturd
- Indianapolis Colts (Q2 30:46) — (:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 86-B.Utecht to BUF 34 for 9 yards (55-A.Crowell). FUMBLES (55-A.Crowell), touched at BUF 32, RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 32. 24-T.McGee for 68 ya
- Buffalo Bills (Q4 6:27) — (6:27) 9-R.Lindell 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
- Buffalo Bills (Q4 12:38) — (12:38) 7-J.Losman pass short right to 83-L.Evans ran ob at IND 22 for 24 yards (28-M.Jackson).
- Buffalo Bills (Q4 11:54) — (11:54) 7-J.Losman sacked at IND 33 for -12 yards (98-R.Mathis).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q2 30:46) — (:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 86-B.Utecht to BUF 34 for 9 yards (55-A.Crowell). FUMBLES (55-A.Crowell), touched at BUF 32, RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 32. 24-T.McGee for 68 ya
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 9:08) — (9:08) 33-D.Rhodes right end to IND 49 for 4 yards (94-A.Schobel). FUMBLES (94-A.Schobel), touched at IND 49, RECOVERED by BUF-22-N.Clements at IND 49. 22-N.Clements to IND 41 for 8 yards (63-J.Saturd
- Buffalo Bills (Q3 25:30) — 4-A.Vinatieri kicks 70 yards from IND 30 to BUF 0. 24-T.McGee to IND 12 for 88 yards (41-A.Bethea).
- Buffalo Bills (Q4 6:27) — (6:27) 9-R.Lindell 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Quarterback report card
P.Manning led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 40 dropbacks · 67.5% completion · -3.5% CPOE · -0.15 EPA/play · -5.90 total EPA
- J.Losman (Buffalo Bills) · 18 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · +18.0% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +1.35 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Buffalo Bills | Indianapolis Colts |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.032 | -0.049 |
| Offensive success rate | 41.5% | 57.6% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.075 | -0.147 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.217 | -0.052 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.049 | +0.032 |
| Defensive success rate | 42.4% | 58.5% |
By the numbers
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Buffalo Bills -0.03, Indianapolis Colts -0.05) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
- Buffalo Bills: 9 drives, -2.10 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
- Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, -4.14 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- L. Evans (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- P. Manning (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
- J. Losman (BUF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 51:54 · IND 4 · Score 3-0
(6:54) 9-R.Lindell 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman. Penalty on IND, Defensive 12 On-field, declined. - Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 41:14 · BUF 1 · Score 3-6
(11:14) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 41:09 · BUF 2 · Score 3-7
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. - Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 32:48 · BUF 13 · Score 3-10
(2:48) 4-A.Vinatieri 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. - Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 30:46 · BUF 43 · Score 9-10
(:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 86-B.Utecht to BUF 34 for 9 yards (55-A.Crowell). FUMBLES (55-A.Crowell), touched at BUF 32, RECOVERED by BUF-24 - Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 30:31 · IND 2 · Score 10-10
9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman. - Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 25:35 · BUF 5 · Score 10-16
(10:35) 29-J.Addai up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 25:30 · BUF 2 · Score 10-17
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. - Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 23:50 · IND 12 · Score 13-17
(8:50) 9-R.Lindell 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman. - Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 10:40 · IND 25 · Score 16-17
(10:40) 9-R.Lindell 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts?
The Indianapolis Colts beat the Buffalo Bills 17-16 in Week 10, 2006 on 2006-11-12.
What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts?
The final score was Buffalo Bills 16, Indianapolis Colts 17 (BUF 16-17 IND) in Week 10, 2006 on 2006-11-12.
What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts?
Q1: Buffalo Bills 3, Indianapolis Colts 0; Q2: Buffalo Bills 7, Indianapolis Colts 10; Q3: Buffalo Bills 3, Indianapolis Colts 7; Q4: Buffalo Bills 3, Indianapolis Colts 0; Final: Buffalo Bills 16, Indianapolis Colts 17.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts?
Indianapolis Colts touchdown — R. Wayne (P. Manning pass) (Q2 41:14) Buffalo Bills touchdown — B. Utecht (P. Manning pass) (Q2 30:46) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — J. Addai (Q3 25:35) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q1 51:54, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 32:48, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q3 23:50, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q4 10:40, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts?
P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts), 67.5% completion, -3.5% CPOE, -0.15 EPA per dropback, -5.90 total passing EPA. J. Losman (Buffalo Bills), 50.0% completion, +18.0% CPOE, +0.07 EPA per dropback, +1.35 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts?
L. Evans (Buffalo Bills) led the game in total EPA with +9.89 on receiving plays. across 5 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-9.31 EPA): (:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 86-B.Utecht to BUF 34 for 9 yards (55-A.Crowell). FUMBLES (55-A.Crowell), touched at BUF 32, RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 32. . The biggest win-probability swing was -25.7%.
Was Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts a close game?
Yes — the margin was 1 points. Indianapolis Colts won 17-16 in a game that came down to the wire.
Season records after this game
Buffalo Bills
Entered 3-5 Now 3-6 L
Indianapolis Colts
Entered 8-0 Now 9-0 W
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