Game story
In Week 9 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-11-04, the Houston Texans took care of business against the Buffalo Bills, pulling away with a 21–9 final that built a comfortable lead.
The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
R. Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with -3.58 total EPA, and +2.0% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, M. Schaub (Houston Texans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.78 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (+10.8% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Houston Texans changed the game: (13:19) 8-M.Schaub pass deep right to 80-A.Johnson to BUF 4 for 34 yards (23-A.Williams). BUF-23-A.Williams was injured during the play. His return is Doubtful.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Houston Texans | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 M. Schaub · Houston Texans · Passing · +11.78 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
- 2 A. Johnson · Houston Texans · Receiving · +8.34 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play
- 3 S. Chandler · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.55 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.91 EPA/play
- 4 J. Casey · Houston Texans · Receiving · +3.07 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play
- 5 G. Graham · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.64 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.32 EPA/play
- 6 C. Spiller · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.43 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
- 7 O. Daniels · Houston Texans · Receiving · +1.42 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
- 8 D. Dickerson · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +0.99 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
M. Schaub — HOU · Passing
M. Schaub posted the highest total EPA (+11.78) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Houston Texans's efficiency. Across 31 counted snaps, they averaged +0.38 EPA per play.
The signature play (-4.02 EPA) came from Buffalo Bills: (10:35) 9-R.Lindell 37 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Houston Texans — O. Daniels (M. Schaub pass)
- Houston Texans — A. Foster
- Houston Texans — G. Graham (M. Schaub pass)
Field goals
- Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell
- Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell
- Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Houston Texans won the period 7–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the BUF 39 (Q1 45:44) — (:44) 8-M.Schaub pass deep right to 81-O.Daniels for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q1 45:36) — 17-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-5-D.Jones..
The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 6–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the HOU 4 (Q2 31:45) — (1:45) 9-R.Lindell 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the HOU 20 (Q2 30:09) — (:09) 9-R.Lindell 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell..
The third quarter: Houston Texans won the period 7–3. Houston Texans found the end zone from the BUF 3 (Q3 27:16) — (12:16) 23-A.Foster left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q3 27:11) — 17-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-5-D.Jones.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the HOU 21 (Q3 22:45) — (7:45) 9-R.Lindell 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell..
The fourth quarter: Houston Texans won the period 7–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the BUF 5 (Q4 11:32) — (11:32) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass short right to 88-G.Graham for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q4 11:25) — 17-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-5-D.Jones..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Houston Texans (Q3 28:19) — (13:19) 8-M.Schaub pass deep right to 80-A.Johnson to BUF 4 for 34 yards (23-A.Williams). BUF-23-A.Williams was injured during the play. His return is Doubtful.
- Houston Texans (Q1 45:44) — (:44) 8-M.Schaub pass deep right to 81-O.Daniels for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Houston Texans (Q1 50:17) — (5:17) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub sacked at HOU 26 for -8 yards (54-K.Moore).
- Buffalo Bills (Q2 30:09) — (:09) 9-R.Lindell 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.
- Houston Texans (Q2 36:32) — (6:32) 17-S.Graham 46 yard field goal is BLOCKED (92-A.Carrington), Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-5-D.Jones, ball declared dead at BUF 36.
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Buffalo Bills (Q2 40:35) — (10:35) 9-R.Lindell 37 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.
- Buffalo Bills (Q4 3:21) — (3:21) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at HOU 38 for 0 yards (59-W.Mercilus). FUMBLES (59-W.Mercilus) [59-W.Mercilus], RECOVERED by HOU-27-Q.Demps at HOU 32. 27-Q.Demps to HOU 32 for no gain (84-S.C
- Houston Texans (Q2 36:32) — (6:32) 17-S.Graham 46 yard field goal is BLOCKED (92-A.Carrington), Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-5-D.Jones, ball declared dead at BUF 36.
- Houston Texans (Q1 45:44) — (:44) 8-M.Schaub pass deep right to 81-O.Daniels for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Quarterback report card
R.Fitzpatrick led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- R.Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills) · 44 dropbacks · 56.8% completion · +2.0% CPOE · -0.08 EPA/play · -3.58 total EPA
- M.Schaub (Houston Texans) · 31 dropbacks · 61.3% completion · +6.6% CPOE · +0.38 EPA/play · +11.78 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Buffalo Bills | Houston Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.094 | +0.049 |
| Offensive success rate | 41.9% | 42.7% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.081 | +0.380 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.216 | -0.098 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.049 | +0.094 |
| Defensive success rate | 57.3% | 58.1% |
By the numbers
Houston Texans held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.05 vs -0.09), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- Buffalo Bills: 11 drives, -6.97 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
- Houston Texans: 11 drives, +4.01 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Houston Texans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- M. Schaub (Houston Texans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- M. Schaub (HOU) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q1 45:44 · BUF 39 · Score 0-6
(:44) 8-M.Schaub pass deep right to 81-O.Daniels for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q1 45:36 · BUF 2 · Score 0-7
17-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-5-D.Jones. - Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 31:45 · HOU 4 · Score 3-7
(1:45) 9-R.Lindell 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell. - Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 30:09 · HOU 20 · Score 6-7
(:09) 9-R.Lindell 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell. - Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q3 27:16 · BUF 3 · Score 6-13
(12:16) 23-A.Foster left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q3 27:11 · BUF 2 · Score 6-14
17-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-5-D.Jones. - Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 22:45 · HOU 21 · Score 9-14
(7:45) 9-R.Lindell 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell. - Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 11:32 · BUF 5 · Score 9-20
(11:32) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass short right to 88-G.Graham for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 11:25 · BUF 2 · Score 9-21
17-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-5-D.Jones.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans?
The Houston Texans beat the Buffalo Bills 21-9 in Week 9, 2012 on 2012-11-04.
What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans?
The final score was Buffalo Bills 9, Houston Texans 21 (BUF 9-21 HOU) in Week 9, 2012 on 2012-11-04.
What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans?
Q1: Buffalo Bills 0, Houston Texans 7; Q2: Buffalo Bills 6, Houston Texans 0; Q3: Buffalo Bills 3, Houston Texans 7; Q4: Buffalo Bills 0, Houston Texans 7; Final: Buffalo Bills 9, Houston Texans 21.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans?
Houston Texans touchdown — O. Daniels (M. Schaub pass) (Q1 45:44) Houston Texans touchdown — A. Foster (Q3 27:16) Houston Texans touchdown — G. Graham (M. Schaub pass) (Q4 11:32) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q2 31:45, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q2 30:09, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q3 22:45, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans?
R. Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills), 56.8% completion, +2.0% CPOE, -0.08 EPA per dropback, -3.58 total passing EPA. M. Schaub (Houston Texans), 61.3% completion, +6.6% CPOE, +0.38 EPA per dropback, +11.78 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans?
M. Schaub (Houston Texans) led the game in total EPA with +11.78 on passing plays. across 31 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.02 EPA): (10:35) 9-R.Lindell 37 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.. The biggest win-probability swing was +10.8%.
Season records after this game
Buffalo Bills
Entered 3-4 Now 3-5 L
Houston Texans
Entered 6-1 Now 7-1 W
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