Buffalo Bills vs. Chicago Bears: 2006 Week 5 Recap

Game story

In Week 5 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-10-08, the Chicago Bears took care of business against the Buffalo Bills, pulling away with a 40–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Losman (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with -17.43 total EPA, and -2.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Berrian (Chicago Bears) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.69 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-7.8% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (11:25) 8-B.Moorman FUMBLES (Aborted) at BUF 42, RECOVERED by CHI-94-B.Ayanbadejo at BUF 42. 94-B.Ayanbadejo to BUF 40 for 2 yards (54-M.Schneck, 53-M.Haggan).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 B. Berrian · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +9.69 total EPA · 4 snaps · +2.42 EPA/play
2. 2 L. Evans · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +9.66 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play
3. 3 R. Davis · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +6.75 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.25 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Grossman · Chicago Bears · Passing · +6.20 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Benson · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +3.40 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
6. 6 C. Benson · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +1.82 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.91 EPA/play
7. 7 T. Jones · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +1.51 total EPA · 23 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
8. 8 B. Griese · Chicago Bears · Passing · +1.31 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Chicago Bears — B. Berrian (R. Grossman pass) (Q2 43:06)
• Chicago Bears — C. Benson (Q2 38:33)
• Chicago Bears — R. Davis (R. Grossman pass) (Q2 34:29)
• Chicago Bears — C. Benson (Q4 4:39)
• Buffalo Bills — L. Evans (J. Losman pass) (Q4 1:10)

Field goals

• Chicago Bears — R. Gould (Q1 54:12)
• Chicago Bears — R. Gould (Q1 48:48)
• Chicago Bears — R. Gould (Q3 22:11)
• Chicago Bears — R. Gould (Q4 6:10)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 6–0. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the BUF 25 (Q1 54:12) — (9:12) 9-R.Gould 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.; Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the BUF 25 (Q1 48:48) — (3:48) 9-R.Gould 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard..

The second quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 21–0. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the BUF 8 (Q2 43:06) — (13:06) 8-R.Grossman pass short middle to 80-B.Berrian for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 43:01) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q2 38:33) — (8:33) 32-C.Benson right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 38:30) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the BUF 15 (Q2 34:29) — (4:29) 8-R.Grossman pass short middle to 81-R.Davis for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 34:22) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard..

The third quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 3–0. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the BUF 14 (Q3 22:11) — (7:11) 9-R.Gould 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard..

The fourth quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 10–7. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the BUF 23 (Q4 6:10) — (6:10) 9-R.Gould 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q4 4:39) — (4:39) 32-C.Benson left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q4 4:36) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the CHI 5 (Q4 1:10) — (1:10) 7-J.Losman pass short left to 83-L.Evans for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the CHI 2 (Q4 1:06) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Buffalo Bills (Q1 56:25) — (11:25) 8-B.Moorman FUMBLES (Aborted) at BUF 42, RECOVERED by CHI-94-B.Ayanbadejo at BUF 42. 94-B.Ayanbadejo to BUF 40 for 2 yards (54-M.Schneck, 53-M.Haggan). [WPA -7.8% · EPA -3.06]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 59:00) — (14:00) 7-J.Losman pass deep right to 83-L.Evans to BUF 49 for 19 yards (38-D.Manning). [WPA +7.6% · EPA +2.38]
• Chicago Bears (Q2 43:06) — (13:06) 8-R.Grossman pass short middle to 80-B.Berrian for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.7% · EPA +2.95]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 57:24) — (12:24) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to CHI 42 for no gain (99-Ta.Johnson, 71-I.Idonije). [WPA -5.0% · EPA -1.79]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 41:24) — (11:24) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass intended for 83-L.Evans INTERCEPTED by 55-L.Briggs [91-T.Harris] at 50. 55-L.Briggs to BUF 32 for 18 yards (84-R.Royal). [WPA -4.6% · EPA -4.04]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Buffalo Bills (Q3 26:35) — (11:35) 7-J.Losman pass short left intended for 21-W.McGahee INTERCEPTED by 96-A.Brown at CHI 25. 96-A.Brown to CHI 43 for 18 yards (76-T.Reyes). [WPA -0.1% · EPA -6.58]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 6:05) — 9-R.Gould kicks 67 yards from CHI 30 to BUF 3. 24-T.McGee to BUF 23 for 20 yards (29-A.Peterson). FUMBLES (29-A.Peterson), RECOVERED by CHI-71-I.Idonije at BUF 15. 71-I.Idonije to BUF 15 for no gain ( [WPA +0.0% · EPA -5.17]
• Chicago Bears (Q4 2:54) — (2:54) 14-B.Griese FUMBLES (Aborted) at CHI 40, RECOVERED by BUF-56-K.Ellison at CHI 42. 56-K.Ellison to CHI 42 for no gain (12-J.Gage). [WPA +0.0% · EPA -4.15]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 41:24) — (11:24) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass intended for 83-L.Evans INTERCEPTED by 55-L.Briggs [91-T.Harris] at 50. 55-L.Briggs to BUF 32 for 18 yards (84-R.Royal). [WPA -4.6% · EPA -4.04]

Quarterback report card

J.Losman led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Losman (Buffalo Bills) · 32 dropbacks · 43.8% completion · -2.7% CPOE · -0.54 EPA/play · -17.43 total EPA
• R.Grossman (Chicago Bears) · 29 dropbacks · 51.7% completion · -2.3% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +6.20 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Chicago Bears held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.12 vs -0.33), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Buffalo Bills: 13 drives, -23.43 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
• Chicago Bears: 13 drives, +10.72 total EPA, 8 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Chicago Bears leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• B. Berrian (Chicago Bears) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q1 54:12 · BUF 25 · Score 0-3
   (9:12) 9-R.Gould 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.
2. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q1 48:48 · BUF 25 · Score 0-6
   (3:48) 9-R.Gould 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.
3. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 43:06 · BUF 8 · Score 0-12
   (13:06) 8-R.Grossman pass short middle to 80-B.Berrian for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 43:01 · BUF 2 · Score 0-13
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.
5. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 38:33 · BUF 1 · Score 0-19
   (8:33) 32-C.Benson right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 38:30 · BUF 2 · Score 0-20
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.
7. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 34:29 · BUF 15 · Score 0-26
   (4:29) 8-R.Grossman pass short middle to 81-R.Davis for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 34:22 · BUF 2 · Score 0-27
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.
9. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q3 22:11 · BUF 14 · Score 0-30
   (7:11) 9-R.Gould 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.
10. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q4 6:10 · BUF 23 · Score 0-33
    (6:10) 9-R.Gould 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.
11. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q4 4:39 · BUF 1 · Score 0-39
    (4:39) 32-C.Benson left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q4 4:36 · BUF 2 · Score 0-40
    9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.
13. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 1:10 · CHI 5 · Score 6-40
    (1:10) 7-J.Losman pass short left to 83-L.Evans for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 1:06 · CHI 2 · Score 7-40
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.