FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 1 · September 11, 2016 · 9 min read

Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens: 2016 Week 1 Recap

Ravens defeat Bills 13–7 in Week 1

M.Wallace led Fantasy Impact as Ravens prevailed in a 7–13 Week 1 finish.

Buffalo Bills 7 0–1
Final 7–13
Baltimore Ravens 13 1–0 Winner
Winner
Baltimore Ravens
Final score
7–13
Halftime
Buffalo Bills 7–10 Baltimore Ravens
Top passer
Joe Flacco
FantasyHQ MVP
M.Wallace
Game date
September 11, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • S.Watkins 4 REC · 43 YDS +3.4 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Clay 2 REC · 40 YDS +1.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Robert Woods
    Robert Woods 4 REC · 20 YDS +0.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Ravens

  • M.Wallace 3 REC · 91 YDS · 1 TD +7.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Joe Flacco
    Joe Flacco 22/39 · 225 YDS · 1 TD +5.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Breshad Perriman
    Breshad Perriman 1 REC · 35 YDS +2.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Baltimore Ravens defeated the Buffalo Bills 13–7 in Week 1 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-09-11, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (+13.5% win probability) came in the second quarter when Baltimore Ravens swung the momentum.

In Week 1 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-09-11, the Baltimore Ravens took care of business against the Buffalo Bills, pulling away with a 13–7 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) paced the passing game, with +5.83 total EPA, and +2.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Wallace (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.56 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+13.5% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Baltimore Ravens changed the game: (10:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 17-M.Wallace for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Buffalo Bills070007
Baltimore Ravens3730013

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Wallace · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +7.56 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.26 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Flacco · Baltimore Ravens · Passing · +5.83 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
  3. 3 S. Watkins · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.36 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
  4. 4 B. Perriman · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +2.40 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Pitta · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.93 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Clay · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.80 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Forsett · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.72 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play
  8. 8 K. Juszczyk · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.32 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Wallace — BAL · Receiving

M. Wallace posted the highest total EPA (+7.56) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Baltimore Ravens's efficiency. Across 6 counted snaps, they averaged +1.26 EPA per play.

The signature play (+5.60 EPA) came from Baltimore Ravens: (10:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 17-M.Wallace for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Baltimore Ravens — M. Wallace (J. Flacco pass) (Q2 40:22)
  • Buffalo Bills — L. McCoy (Q2 33:06)

Field goals

  • Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q1 45:41)
  • Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q4 5:42)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 3–0. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the BUF 32 (Q1 45:41) — (:41) 9-J.Tucker 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the BUF 66 (Q2 40:22) — (10:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 17-M.Wallace for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 40:11); Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BAL 1 (Q2 33:06) — (3:06) 25-L.McCoy left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. No. 82 Jim Dray (BUF) injured on play.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q2 33:02) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

The fourth quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 3–0. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the BUF 19 (Q4 5:42) — (5:42) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Baltimore Ravens (Q2 40:22) — (10:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 17-M.Wallace for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.5% · EPA +5.60]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q1 52:05) — (7:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco FUMBLES (Aborted) at BAL 47, RECOVERED by BUF-52-P.Brown at BAL 47. 52-P.Brown to BAL 47 for no gain (5-J.Flacco). [WPA -11.6% · EPA -5.13]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 33:06) — (3:06) 25-L.McCoy left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. No. 82 Jim Dray (BUF) injured on play. [WPA +11.2% · EPA +2.86]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q3 15:46) — (:46) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 28-T.West pushed ob at BUF 42 for no gain (55-J.Hughes). [WPA -9.9% · EPA -3.14]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 25:53) — (10:53) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor scrambles left end ran ob at BAL 31 for 6 yards. PENALTY on BAL-22-J.Smith, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 31. [WPA +9.2% · EPA +2.62]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Baltimore Ravens (Q2 40:22) — (10:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 17-M.Wallace for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.5% · EPA +5.60]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q1 52:05) — (7:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco FUMBLES (Aborted) at BAL 47, RECOVERED by BUF-52-P.Brown at BAL 47. 52-P.Brown to BAL 47 for no gain (5-J.Flacco). [WPA -11.6% · EPA -5.13]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 35:57) — (5:57) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass deep middle to 85-C.Clay to BAL 4 for 33 yards (24-S.Wright). Taylor scrambles to elude pass rush and fires pass downfield. [WPA +8.7% · EPA +3.96]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 23:43) — (8:43) (Field Goal formation) 2-D.Carpenter 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt. [WPA -8.6% · EPA -3.86]

Quarterback report card

J.Flacco led all passers in efficiency for Baltimore Ravens, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) · 39 dropbacks · 56.4% completion · +2.3% CPOE · +0.15 EPA/play · +5.83 total EPA
  • T.Taylor (Buffalo Bills) · 28 dropbacks · 53.6% completion · +1.2% CPOE · -0.07 EPA/play · -1.91 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatBuffalo BillsBaltimore Ravens
Offensive EPA/play-0.213-0.087
Offensive success rate34.8%38.3%
Pass EPA/play-0.068+0.149
Rush EPA/play-0.294-0.422
Defensive EPA/play+0.087+0.213
Defensive success rate61.7%65.2%

By the numbers

Baltimore Ravens held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.09 vs -0.21), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Baltimore Ravens: 10 drives, -7.08 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Buffalo Bills: 9 drives, -14.09 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Baltimore Ravens leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Wallace (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q1 45:41 · BUF 32 · Score 0-3
    (:41) 9-J.Tucker 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  2. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 40:22 · BUF 66 · Score 0-9
    (10:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 17-M.Wallace for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 40:11 · BUF 15 · Score 0-10
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch. PENALTY on BUF-28-R.Darby, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
  4. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 33:06 · BAL 1 · Score 6-10
    (3:06) 25-L.McCoy left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. No. 82 Jim Dray (BUF) injured on play.
  5. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 33:02 · BAL 15 · Score 7-10
    2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
  6. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q4 5:42 · BUF 19 · Score 7-13
    (5:42) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens?

The Baltimore Ravens beat the Buffalo Bills 13-7 in Week 1, 2016 on 2016-09-11.

What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens?

The final score was Buffalo Bills 7, Baltimore Ravens 13 (BUF 7-13 BAL) in Week 1, 2016 on 2016-09-11.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens?

Q1: Buffalo Bills 0, Baltimore Ravens 3; Q2: Buffalo Bills 7, Baltimore Ravens 7; Q4: Buffalo Bills 0, Baltimore Ravens 3; Final: Buffalo Bills 7, Baltimore Ravens 13.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens?

Baltimore Ravens touchdown — M. Wallace (J. Flacco pass) (Q2 40:22) Buffalo Bills touchdown — L. McCoy (Q2 33:06) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q1 45:41, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q4 5:42, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens?

J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens), 56.4% completion, +2.3% CPOE, +0.15 EPA per dropback, +5.83 total passing EPA. T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills), 53.6% completion, +1.2% CPOE, -0.07 EPA per dropback, -1.91 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens?

M. Wallace (Baltimore Ravens) led the game in total EPA with +7.56 on receiving plays. across 6 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+5.60 EPA): (10:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 17-M.Wallace for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +13.5%.

Was Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens a close game?

Yes — the margin was 6 points. Baltimore Ravens won 13-7 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Now 0-1 L

Baltimore Ravens

Now 1-0 W