FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 4 · October 1, 2017 · 11 min read

Buffalo Bills vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2017 Week 4 Recap

Bills defeat Falcons 23–17 in Week 4

Tyrod Taylor led Fantasy Impact as Bills prevailed in a 23–17 Week 4 finish.

Buffalo Bills 23 3–1 Winner
Final 23–17
Atlanta Falcons 17 3–1
Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
23–17
Halftime
Buffalo Bills 7–10 Atlanta Falcons
Top passer
Matt Ryan
FantasyHQ MVP
Tyrod Taylor
Game date
October 1, 2017

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • Tyrod Taylor
    Tyrod Taylor 12/26 · 175 YDS · 1 TD +6.1 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Clay 5 REC · 112 YDS +5.6 Fantasy Impact
  • L.McCoy 3 REC · 32 YDS +3.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Ju.Jones 3 REC · 30 YDS +3.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Tavian Coleman 4 REC · 65 YDS +1.6 Fantasy Impact
  • L.Toilolo 3 REC · 21 YDS +1.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Buffalo Bills defeated the Atlanta Falcons 23–17 in Week 4 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-10-01, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-29.5% win probability) came in the third quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 4 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-10-01, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 23–17 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with -8.16 total EPA, and -3.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.09 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-29.5% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (11:04) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 39 for -8 yards (55-J.Hughes). FUMBLES (55-J.Hughes) [55-J.Hughes], RECOVERED by BUF-27-T.White at BUF 48. 27-T.White for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on ATL-2

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q2Q3Q4T
Buffalo Bills7790023
Atlanta Falcons10070017

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Taylor · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +6.09 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
  2. 2 C. Clay · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.58 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
  3. 3 Ju. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.43 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play
  4. 4 L. McCoy · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.98 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
  5. 5 A. Holmes · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.72 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.72 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Coleman · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.55 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  7. 7 L. Toilolo · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.35 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Sanu · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +1.33 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.33 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Taylor — BUF · Passing

T. Taylor posted the highest total EPA (+6.09) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Buffalo Bills's efficiency. Across 26 counted snaps, they averaged +0.23 EPA per play.

The signature play (-8.53 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (11:04) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 39 for -8 yards (55-J.Hughes). FUMBLES (55-J.Hughes) [55-J.Hughes], RECOVERED by BUF-27-T.White at BUF 48. 27-T.White for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on ATL-24-D.Freeman, Unneces

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Buffalo Bills — J. Matthews (T. Taylor pass) (Q2 36:57)
  • Atlanta Falcons — D. Freeman (Q2 30:21)
  • Buffalo Bills — T. White (Q3 26:04)
  • Atlanta Falcons — J. Hardy (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 7:04)

Field goals

  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q2 40:35)
  • Buffalo Bills — S. Hauschka (Q4 12:03)
  • Buffalo Bills — S. Hauschka (Q4 4:48)
  • Buffalo Bills — S. Hauschka (Q4 3:10)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 10–7. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the BUF 10 (Q2 40:35) — (10:35) 3-M.Bryant 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the ATL 9 (Q2 36:57) — (6:57) 5-T.Taylor pass short left to 87-J.Matthews for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q2 36:51) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q2 30:21) — (:21) 24-D.Freeman left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 30:18) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BUF 53 (Q3 26:04); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q3 25:55) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 9–7. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the ATL 6 (Q4 12:03) — (12:03) 4-S.Hauschka 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the BUF 3 (Q4 7:04) — (7:04) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 14-J.Hardy for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q4 7:00) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the ATL 38 (Q4 4:48) — (4:48) 4-S.Hauschka 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the ATL 37 (Q4 3:10) — (3:10) 4-S.Hauschka 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q3 26:04) — (11:04) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 39 for -8 yards (55-J.Hughes). FUMBLES (55-J.Hughes) [55-J.Hughes], RECOVERED by BUF-27-T.White at BUF 48. 27-T.White for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on ATL-2 [WPA -29.5% · EPA -8.53]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 0:49) — (:49) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete short right to 18-T.Gabriel. [WPA -28.7% · EPA -2.78]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 3:42) — (3:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle intended for 15-N.Williams INTERCEPTED by 23-M.Hyde at BUF 28. 23-M.Hyde to ATL 35 for 37 yards (67-A.Levitre). The Replay Official reviewed the pass interce [WPA -16.0% · EPA -4.46]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 7:04) — (7:04) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 14-J.Hardy for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.7% · EPA +2.27]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 4:48) — (4:48) 4-S.Hauschka 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt. [WPA +12.4% · EPA +2.01]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q3 26:04) — (11:04) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 39 for -8 yards (55-J.Hughes). FUMBLES (55-J.Hughes) [55-J.Hughes], RECOVERED by BUF-27-T.White at BUF 48. 27-T.White for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on ATL-2 [WPA -29.5% · EPA -8.53]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 3:42) — (3:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle intended for 15-N.Williams INTERCEPTED by 23-M.Hyde at BUF 28. 23-M.Hyde to ATL 35 for 37 yards (67-A.Levitre). The Replay Official reviewed the pass interce [WPA -16.0% · EPA -4.46]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 53:41) — (8:41) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short right to 25-L.McCoy to ATL 46 for 17 yards (95-J.Crawford). [WPA +8.0% · EPA +2.98]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 0:49) — (:49) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete short right to 18-T.Gabriel. [WPA -28.7% · EPA -2.78]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 47 dropbacks · 51.1% completion · -3.4% CPOE · -0.17 EPA/play · -8.16 total EPA
  • T.Taylor (Buffalo Bills) · 26 dropbacks · 46.2% completion · +6.0% CPOE · +0.23 EPA/play · +6.09 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatBuffalo BillsAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play+0.069-0.064
Offensive success rate44.2%43.8%
Pass EPA/play+0.234-0.174
Rush EPA/play-0.136+0.019
Defensive EPA/play+0.064-0.069
Defensive success rate56.2%55.8%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.07 vs -0.06), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, -5.67 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Buffalo Bills: 11 drives, +5.31 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Ryan (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • T. Taylor (BUF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 40:35 · BUF 10 · Score 0-3
    (10:35) 3-M.Bryant 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  2. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 36:57 · ATL 9 · Score 6-3
    (6:57) 5-T.Taylor pass short left to 87-J.Matthews for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 36:51 · ATL 15 · Score 7-3
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
  4. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 30:21 · BUF 1 · Score 7-9
    (:21) 24-D.Freeman left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 30:18 · BUF 15 · Score 7-10
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  6. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 26:04 · BUF 53 · Score 13-10
    (11:04) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 39 for -8 yards (55-J.Hughes). FUMBLES (55-J.Hughes) [55-J.Hughes], RECOVERED by BUF-27-T.White at BUF 48. 27-T.White f
  7. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 25:55 · ATL 15 · Score 14-10
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
  8. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 12:03 · ATL 6 · Score 17-10
    (12:03) 4-S.Hauschka 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
  9. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 7:04 · BUF 3 · Score 17-16
    (7:04) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 14-J.Hardy for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 7:00 · BUF 15 · Score 17-17
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  11. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 4:48 · ATL 38 · Score 20-17
    (4:48) 4-S.Hauschka 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
  12. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 3:10 · ATL 37 · Score 23-17
    (3:10) 4-S.Hauschka 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Atlanta Falcons 23-17 in Week 4, 2017 on 2017-10-01.

What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was Buffalo Bills 23, Atlanta Falcons 17 (BUF 23-17 ATL) in Week 4, 2017 on 2017-10-01.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q2: Buffalo Bills 7, Atlanta Falcons 10; Q3: Buffalo Bills 7, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q4: Buffalo Bills 9, Atlanta Falcons 7; Final: Buffalo Bills 23, Atlanta Falcons 17.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons?

Buffalo Bills touchdown — J. Matthews (T. Taylor pass) (Q2 36:57) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — D. Freeman (Q2 30:21) Buffalo Bills touchdown — T. White (Q3 26:04) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Hardy (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 7:04) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q2 40:35, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — S. Hauschka (Q4 12:03, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — S. Hauschka (Q4 4:48, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — S. Hauschka (Q4 3:10, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 51.1% completion, -3.4% CPOE, -0.17 EPA per dropback, -8.16 total passing EPA. T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills), 46.2% completion, +6.0% CPOE, +0.23 EPA per dropback, +6.09 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons?

T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills) led the game in total EPA with +6.09 on passing plays. across 26 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-8.53 EPA): (11:04) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 39 for -8 yards (55-J.Hughes). FUMBLES (55-J.Hughes) [55-J.Hughes], RECOVERED by BUF-27-T.White at BUF 48. 27-T.White for 52 yards, TOUCHDO. The biggest win-probability swing was -29.5%.

Was Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons a close game?

Yes — the margin was 6 points. Buffalo Bills won 23-17 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Entered 2-1 Now 3-1 W

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 3-0 Now 3-1 L