Game story
In Week 16 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-12-25, the Baltimore Ravens took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 33–19 final that built a comfortable lead.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) paced the passing game, with +9.59 total EPA, and -1.7% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.59 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-17.4% win probability) landed in the second quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (14:22) 13-B.Purdy pass short left intended for 19-D.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 44-M.Humphrey (21-B.Stephens) at BAL 44. 44-M.Humphrey to BAL 47 for 3 yards (13-B.Purdy).
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 13 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 33 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 19 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 L. Jackson · Baltimore Ravens · Passing · +9.59 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
- 2 B. Aiyuk · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +9.54 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.36 EPA/play
- 3 Z. Flowers · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +4.50 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
- 4 I. Likely · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +2.99 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
- 5 R. Bell · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.93 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.93 EPA/play
- 6 G. Edwards · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +2.86 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.86 EPA/play
- 7 C. McCaffrey · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +2.44 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
- 8 S. Darnold · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +2.15 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
L. Jackson — BAL · Passing
L. Jackson posted the highest total EPA (+9.59) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Baltimore Ravens's efficiency. Across 44 counted snaps, they averaged +0.22 EPA per play.
The signature play (-6.56 EPA) came from San Francisco 49ers: (12:07) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left intended for 23-C.McCaffrey INTERCEPTED by 6-P.Queen (98-T.Jones) [98-T.Jones] at SF 30. 6-P.Queen to SF 9 for 21 yards (55-J.Feliciano, 71-T.Williams).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Baltimore Ravens — G. Edwards
- San Francisco 49ers — C. McCaffrey
- Baltimore Ravens — N. Agholor (L. Jackson pass)
- Baltimore Ravens — Z. Flowers (L. Jackson pass)
- San Francisco 49ers — R. Bell (S. Darnold pass)
Field goals
- San Francisco 49ers — J. Moody
- Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker
- Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker
- Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker
- Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 5–3. San Francisco 49ers registered a safety from the SF 80 (Q1 55:31); San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the BAL 27 (Q1 51:03) — (6:03) 4-J.Moody 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the SF 10 (Q1 46:01) — (1:01) 9-J.Tucker 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout..
The second quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 13–7. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q2 39:38) — (9:38) (Shotgun) 35-G.Edwards up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q2 39:35) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the SF 23 (Q2 37:07) — (7:07) 9-J.Tucker 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the BAL 9 (Q2 33:29) — (3:29) 23-C.McCaffrey left tackle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q2 33:23) — 4-J.Moody extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the SF 11 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) 9-J.Tucker 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout..
The third quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 17–0. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the SF 6 (Q3 27:13) — (12:13) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 15-N.Agholor for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q3 27:07) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the SF 9 (Q3 26:52) — (11:52) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q3 26:49) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the SF 6 (Q3 17:43) — (2:43) 9-J.Tucker 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout..
The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the BAL 12 (Q4 6:23) — (6:23) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 10-R.Bell for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q4 6:19) — 4-J.Moody extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- San Francisco 49ers (Q2 44:22) — (14:22) 13-B.Purdy pass short left intended for 19-D.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 44-M.Humphrey (21-B.Stephens) at BAL 44. 44-M.Humphrey to BAL 47 for 3 yards (13-B.Purdy).
- San Francisco 49ers (Q2 38:08) — (8:08) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short middle intended for 85-G.Kittle INTERCEPTED by 14-K.Hamilton (44-M.Humphrey) at SF 32. 14-K.Hamilton to SF 35 for -3 yards (23-C.McCaffrey). PENALTY on SF-23-C.M
- San Francisco 49ers (Q1 58:17) — (13:17) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short middle to 85-G.Kittle to BAL 28 for 58 yards (28-R.Darby).
- Baltimore Ravens (Q1 55:31) — (10:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short left. PENALTY on BAL-8-L.Jackson, Intentional Grounding, 20 yards, enforced in End Zone, SAFETY.
- San Francisco 49ers (Q1 56:47) — (11:47) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep middle intended for 19-D.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 14-K.Hamilton at BAL -2. 14-K.Hamilton to BAL 8 for 10 yards (44-K.Juszczyk).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- San Francisco 49ers (Q3 27:07) — (12:07) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left intended for 23-C.McCaffrey INTERCEPTED by 6-P.Queen (98-T.Jones) [98-T.Jones] at SF 30. 6-P.Queen to SF 9 for 21 yards (55-J.Feliciano, 71-T.Williams).
- San Francisco 49ers (Q2 44:22) — (14:22) 13-B.Purdy pass short left intended for 19-D.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 44-M.Humphrey (21-B.Stephens) at BAL 44. 44-M.Humphrey to BAL 47 for 3 yards (13-B.Purdy).
- San Francisco 49ers (Q1 58:17) — (13:17) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short middle to 85-G.Kittle to BAL 28 for 58 yards (28-R.Darby).
- San Francisco 49ers (Q1 56:47) — (11:47) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep middle intended for 19-D.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 14-K.Hamilton at BAL -2. 14-K.Hamilton to BAL 8 for 10 yards (44-K.Juszczyk).
Quarterback report card
L.Jackson led all passers in efficiency for Baltimore Ravens, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- L.Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) · 44 dropbacks · 52.3% completion · -1.7% CPOE · +0.22 EPA/play · +9.59 total EPA
- B.Purdy (San Francisco 49ers) · 35 dropbacks · 51.4% completion · -10.0% CPOE · -0.46 EPA/play · -16.12 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Baltimore Ravens | San Francisco 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.092 | -0.144 |
| Offensive success rate | 49.4% | 41.4% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.218 | -0.264 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.140 | +0.144 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.144 | -0.092 |
| Defensive success rate | 58.6% | 50.6% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Baltimore Ravens generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs -0.14), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Baltimore Ravens: 12 drives, +7.81 total EPA, 8 scoring drives
- San Francisco 49ers: 11 drives, -12.55 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Baltimore Ravens leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- B. Purdy (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- San Francisco 49ers Safety (+2) — Q1 55:31 · SF 80 · Score 0-2
(10:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short left. PENALTY on BAL-8-L.Jackson, Intentional Grounding, 20 yards, enforced in End Zone, SAFETY. - San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 51:03 · BAL 27 · Score 0-5
(6:03) 4-J.Moody 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky. - Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q1 46:01 · SF 10 · Score 3-5
(1:01) 9-J.Tucker 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout. - Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 39:38 · SF 1 · Score 9-5
(9:38) (Shotgun) 35-G.Edwards up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 39:35 · SF 15 · Score 10-5
9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout. - Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 37:07 · SF 23 · Score 13-5
(7:07) 9-J.Tucker 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout. - San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 33:29 · BAL 9 · Score 13-11
(3:29) 23-C.McCaffrey left tackle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 33:23 · BAL 15 · Score 13-12
4-J.Moody extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky. - Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · SF 11 · Score 16-12
(:04) 9-J.Tucker 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout. - Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q3 27:13 · SF 6 · Score 22-12
(12:13) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 15-N.Agholor for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q3 27:07 · SF 15 · Score 23-12
9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout. - Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q3 26:52 · SF 9 · Score 29-12
(11:52) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q3 26:49 · SF 15 · Score 30-12
9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout. - Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q3 17:43 · SF 6 · Score 33-12
(2:43) 9-J.Tucker 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout. - San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 6:23 · BAL 12 · Score 33-18
(6:23) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 10-R.Bell for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 6:19 · BAL 15 · Score 33-19
4-J.Moody extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers?
The Baltimore Ravens beat the San Francisco 49ers 33-19 in Week 16, 2023 on 2023-12-25.
What was the final score of Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers?
The final score was Baltimore Ravens 33, San Francisco 49ers 19 (BAL 33-19 SF) in Week 16, 2023 on 2023-12-25.
What was the score by quarter in Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers?
Q1: Baltimore Ravens 3, San Francisco 49ers 5; Q2: Baltimore Ravens 13, San Francisco 49ers 7; Q3: Baltimore Ravens 17, San Francisco 49ers 0; Q4: Baltimore Ravens 0, San Francisco 49ers 7; Final: Baltimore Ravens 33, San Francisco 49ers 19.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers?
Baltimore Ravens touchdown — G. Edwards (Q2 39:38) San Francisco 49ers touchdown — C. McCaffrey (Q2 33:29) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — N. Agholor (L. Jackson pass) (Q3 27:13) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — Z. Flowers (L. Jackson pass) (Q3 26:52) San Francisco 49ers touchdown — R. Bell (S. Darnold pass) (Q4 6:23) San Francisco 49ers field goal — J. Moody (Q1 51:03, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q1 46:01, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q2 37:07, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q2 30:04, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q3 17:43, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers?
L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens), 52.3% completion, -1.7% CPOE, +0.22 EPA per dropback, +9.59 total passing EPA. B. Purdy (San Francisco 49ers), 51.4% completion, -10.0% CPOE, -0.46 EPA per dropback, -16.12 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers?
L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) led the game in total EPA with +9.59 on passing plays. across 44 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.56 EPA): (12:07) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left intended for 23-C.McCaffrey INTERCEPTED by 6-P.Queen (98-T.Jones) [98-T.Jones] at SF 30. 6-P.Queen to SF 9 for 21 yards (55-J.Feliciano. The biggest win-probability swing was -17.4%.
Season records after this game
Baltimore Ravens
Entered 11-3 Now 12-3 W
San Francisco 49ers
Entered 11-3 Now 11-4 L
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