Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2015 Week 6 Recap

Game story

In Week 6 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-10-18, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Baltimore Ravens, pulling away with a 25–20 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) paced the passing game, with +4.54 total EPA, and +2.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.43 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-20.7% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Baltimore Ravens changed the game: (:06) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass incomplete deep right to 89-S.Smith (35-E.Reid).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 C. Kaepernick · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +13.43 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
2. 2 S. Smith · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +7.82 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
3. 3 B. Miller · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +6.14 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.05 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Flacco · Baltimore Ravens · Passing · +4.54 total EPA · 53 snaps · +0.09 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Smith · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.25 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play
6. 6 Q. Patton · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.07 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Boldin · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.45 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
8. 8 C. Givens · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +2.16 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.08 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — T. Smith (C. Kaepernick pass) (Q2 42:37)
• Baltimore Ravens — S. Smith (J. Flacco pass) (Q3 17:36)
• San Francisco 49ers — Q. Patton (C. Kaepernick pass) (Q4 10:59)
• Baltimore Ravens — K. Aiken (J. Flacco pass) (Q4 5:22)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q1 52:05)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q1 47:00)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q2 43:21)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q2 38:09)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q2 34:19)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q3 22:39)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 6–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the BAL 35 (Q1 52:05) — (7:05) 9-P.Dawson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the BAL 12 (Q1 47:00) — (2:00) 9-P.Dawson 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 10–6. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the SF 4 (Q2 43:21) — (13:21) 9-J.Tucker 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the BAL 76 (Q2 42:37) — (12:37) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right to 82-T.Smith for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at BAL-36, YAC-36.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q2 42:27) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the BAL 8 (Q2 38:09) — (8:09) 9-P.Dawson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the SF 18 (Q2 34:19) — (4:19) 9-J.Tucker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The third quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 7–3. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the BAL 24 (Q3 22:39) — (7:39) 9-P.Dawson 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the SF 34 (Q3 17:36) — (2:36) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 89-S.Smith for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught pass 5-yds deep in end zone. 0-yds YAC; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q3 17:29) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The fourth quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 7–6. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the BAL 21 (Q4 10:59) — (10:59) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right to 11-Q.Patton for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN [90-Z.Smith].; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the SF 2 (Q4 5:22) — (5:22) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 11-K.Aiken for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q4 5:14) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q4 0:06) — (:06) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass incomplete deep right to 89-S.Smith (35-E.Reid). [WPA -20.7% · EPA -1.51]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 42:37) — (12:37) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right to 82-T.Smith for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at BAL-36, YAC-36. [WPA +14.8% · EPA +6.31]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 1:15) — (1:15) 5-B.Pinion punts 52 yards to end zone, Center-86-K.Nelson, Touchback. [WPA -13.3% · EPA -0.33]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q3 17:36) — (2:36) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 89-S.Smith for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught pass 5-yds deep in end zone. 0-yds YAC [WPA +11.9% · EPA +4.03]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q4 5:22) — (5:22) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 11-K.Aiken for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.3% · EPA +3.86]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q3 25:53) — (10:53) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left intended for 37-J.Allen INTERCEPTED by 20-K.Acker at SF 17. 20-K.Acker to BAL 38 for 45 yards (73-M.Yanda). [WPA -9.9% · EPA -6.76]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 42:37) — (12:37) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right to 82-T.Smith for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at BAL-36, YAC-36. [WPA +14.8% · EPA +6.31]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 41:40) — (11:40) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle intended for 11-K.Aiken INTERCEPTED by 57-M.Wilhoite at BAL 29. 57-M.Wilhoite to BAL 29 for no gain (11-K.Aiken). [WPA -5.9% · EPA -4.07]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q3 17:36) — (2:36) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 89-S.Smith for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught pass 5-yds deep in end zone. 0-yds YAC [WPA +11.9% · EPA +4.03]

Quarterback report card

J.Flacco led all passers in efficiency for Baltimore Ravens, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) · 53 dropbacks · 62.3% completion · +2.8% CPOE · +0.09 EPA/play · +4.54 total EPA
• C.Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) · 35 dropbacks · 45.7% completion · -1.6% CPOE · +0.38 EPA/play · +13.43 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

San Francisco 49ers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.08 vs +0.01), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Baltimore Ravens: 11 drives, +1.29 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 11 drives, +5.62 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• C. Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 52:05 · BAL 35 · Score 0-3
   (7:05) 9-P.Dawson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
2. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 47:00 · BAL 12 · Score 0-6
   (2:00) 9-P.Dawson 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
3. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 43:21 · SF 4 · Score 3-6
   (13:21) 9-J.Tucker 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
4. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 42:37 · BAL 76 · Score 3-12
   (12:37) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right to 82-T.Smith for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at BAL-36, YAC-36.
5. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 42:27 · BAL 15 · Score 3-13
   9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
6. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 38:09 · BAL 8 · Score 3-16
   (8:09) 9-P.Dawson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
7. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 34:19 · SF 18 · Score 6-16
   (4:19) 9-J.Tucker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
8. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 22:39 · BAL 24 · Score 6-19
   (7:39) 9-P.Dawson 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
9. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q3 17:36 · SF 34 · Score 12-19
   (2:36) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 89-S.Smith for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught pass 5-yds deep in end zone. 0-yds YAC
10. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q3 17:29 · SF 15 · Score 13-19
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
11. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 10:59 · BAL 21 · Score 13-25
    (10:59) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right to 11-Q.Patton for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN [90-Z.Smith].
12. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 5:22 · SF 2 · Score 19-25
    (5:22) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 11-K.Aiken for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q4 5:14 · SF 15 · Score 20-25
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.