Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills: 2007 Week 7 Recap

Game story

In Week 7 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-10-21, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Baltimore Ravens, pulling away with a 19–14 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

K. Boller (Baltimore Ravens) paced the passing game, with -3.38 total EPA, and -0.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Mason (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.76 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-65.9% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (:36) 23-M.Lynch left tackle to BUF 37 for 9 yards (26-D.Landry, 20-E.Reed).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Mason · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +9.76 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
2. 2 L. Evans · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +6.82 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.36 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Clayton · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +3.93 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Williams · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +3.66 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.66 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Darling · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.91 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.91 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Reed · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.70 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.70 EPA/play
7. 7 R. Parrish · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play
8. 8 W. McGahee · Baltimore Ravens · Rushing · +1.05 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Baltimore Ravens — W. McGahee (Q3 26:31)
• Buffalo Bills — M. Lynch (Q3 17:18)
• Baltimore Ravens — D. Mason (K. Boller pass) (Q4 6:39)

Field goals

• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q1 48:54)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q2 42:47)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q2 40:22)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q3 22:23)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the BAL 11 (Q1 48:54) — (3:54) 9-R.Lindell 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 6–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the BAL 8 (Q2 42:47) — (12:47) 9-R.Lindell 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the BAL 17 (Q2 40:22) — (10:22) 9-R.Lindell 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 10–7. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the BUF 46 (Q3 26:31) — (11:31) 23-W.McGahee up the middle for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q3 26:20) — 3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the BAL 23 (Q3 22:23) — (7:23) 9-R.Lindell 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BAL 1 (Q3 17:18) — (2:18) 23-M.Lynch up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q3 17:14) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The fourth quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 7–0. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the BUF 15 (Q4 6:39) — (6:39) (Shotgun) 7-K.Boller pass short middle to 85-D.Mason for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 4 yds. into end zone.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q4 6:34) — 3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Buffalo Bills (Q2 30:36) — (:36) 23-M.Lynch left tackle to BUF 37 for 9 yards (26-D.Landry, 20-E.Reed). [WPA -65.9% · EPA -0.30]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2) — End of half - 2:21 pm [WPA +63.5% · EPA -0.02]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q4 1:49) — (1:49) (Shotgun) 7-K.Boller pass incomplete short right to 32-M.Smith. Overthrown, receiver in flat at BUF 47. Pressure on QB: A.Schobel. [WPA -14.4% · EPA -2.32]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q4 6:39) — (6:39) (Shotgun) 7-K.Boller pass short middle to 85-D.Mason for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 4 yds. into end zone. [WPA +12.3% · EPA +4.40]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 51:40) — (6:40) (No Huddle) 23-M.Lynch right tackle to BAL 20 for 23 yards (97-K.Gregg, 26-D.Landry). [WPA +10.2% · EPA +2.16]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q3 26:31) — (11:31) 23-W.McGahee up the middle for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.8% · EPA +4.48]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q4 6:39) — (6:39) (Shotgun) 7-K.Boller pass short middle to 85-D.Mason for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 4 yds. into end zone. [WPA +12.3% · EPA +4.40]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 7:34) — (7:34) 5-T.Edwards pass short left intended for 83-L.Evans INTERCEPTED by 22-S.Rolle at BUF 14. 22-S.Rolle for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Coverage near sideline. Buffalo challenged the runner was down by co [WPA -5.0% · EPA -3.70]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q4 11:03) — (11:03) (Shotgun) 7-K.Boller pass deep right to 87-D.Williams to BUF 15 for 18 yards (24-T.McGee, 37-G.Wilson). Caught at BUF 17, crossing to middle. [WPA +5.1% · EPA +3.66]

Quarterback report card

K.Boller led all passers in efficiency for Baltimore Ravens, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• K.Boller (Baltimore Ravens) · 38 dropbacks · 55.3% completion · -0.9% CPOE · -0.09 EPA/play · -3.38 total EPA
• T.Edwards (Buffalo Bills) · 25 dropbacks · 44.0% completion · +0.1% CPOE · -0.09 EPA/play · -2.13 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Baltimore Ravens -0.09, Buffalo Bills -0.04) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Baltimore Ravens: 11 drives, -7.32 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
• Buffalo Bills: 12 drives, -3.53 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• D. Mason (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 48:54 · BAL 11 · Score 0-3
   (3:54) 9-R.Lindell 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
2. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 42:47 · BAL 8 · Score 0-6
   (12:47) 9-R.Lindell 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
3. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 40:22 · BAL 17 · Score 0-9
   (10:22) 9-R.Lindell 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
4. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q3 26:31 · BUF 46 · Score 6-9
   (11:31) 23-W.McGahee up the middle for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q3 26:20 · BUF 2 · Score 7-9
   3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.
6. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 22:23 · BAL 23 · Score 7-12
   (7:23) 9-R.Lindell 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
7. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 17:18 · BAL 1 · Score 7-18
   (2:18) 23-M.Lynch up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 17:14 · BAL 2 · Score 7-19
   9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
9. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 6:39 · BUF 15 · Score 13-19
   (6:39) (Shotgun) 7-K.Boller pass short middle to 85-D.Mason for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 4 yds. into end zone.
10. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q4 6:34 · BUF 2 · Score 14-19
    3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.