FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 12 · November 27, 2022 · 10 min read

Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders: 2022 Week 12 Recap

Commanders defeat Falcons 19–13 in Week 12

Brian Robinson led Fantasy Impact as Commanders prevailed in a 13–19 Week 12 finish.

Atlanta Falcons 13 5–7
Final 13–19
Washington Commanders 19 7–5 Winner
Winner
Washington Commanders
Final score
13–19
Halftime
Tied 10–10 at halftime
Top passer
Marcus Mariota
FantasyHQ MVP
Brian Robinson
Game date
November 27, 2022

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Marcus Mariota
    Marcus Mariota 6 CAR · 49 YDS +3.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Tyler Allgeier
    Tyler Allgeier 12 CAR · 54 YDS +3.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Anthony Firkser
    Anthony Firkser 1 REC · 16 YDS +1.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Commanders

  • Brian Robinson
    Brian Robinson 18 CAR · 105 YDS +5.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Terry McLaurin
    Terry McLaurin 4 REC · 48 YDS +3.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Dyami Brown
    Dyami Brown 1 REC · 17 YDS +2.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Washington Commanders defeated the Atlanta Falcons 19–13 in Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-11-27, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-43.5% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-11-27, the Washington Commanders took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 19–13 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Mariota (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with -4.72 total EPA, and -4.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Robinson (Washington Commanders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.64 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-43.5% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (1:03) (Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota pass short middle intended for 84-C.Patterson INTERCEPTED by 29-K.Fuller (94-D.Payne) at WAS -2. Touchback.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Atlanta Falcons3730013
Washington Commanders7363019

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 B. Robinson · Washington Commanders · Rushing · +5.64 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
  2. 2 M. Mariota · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +3.38 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
  3. 3 T. McLaurin · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +3.31 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
  4. 4 T. Allgeier · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +3.02 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Brown · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +2.03 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.03 EPA/play
  6. 6 B. Robinson · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +1.64 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Williams · Washington Commanders · Rushing · +1.34 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Bates · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +1.28 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

B. Robinson — WAS · Rushing

B. Robinson posted the highest total EPA (+5.64) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Washington Commanders's efficiency. Across 18 counted snaps, they averaged +0.31 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.89 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (1:03) (Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota pass short middle intended for 84-C.Patterson INTERCEPTED by 29-K.Fuller (94-D.Payne) at WAS -2. Touchback.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Washington Commanders — B. Robinson (T. Heinicke pass) (Q1 48:53)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Pruitt (M. Mariota pass) (Q2 38:32)
  • Washington Commanders — J. Bates (T. Heinicke pass) (Q3 19:09)

Field goals

  • Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q1 53:12)
  • Washington Commanders — J. Slye (Q2 31:54)
  • Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q3 16:22)
  • Washington Commanders — J. Slye (Q4 9:10)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 7–3. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the WAS 29 (Q1 53:12) — (8:12) 7-Y.Koo 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.; Washington Commanders found the end zone from the ATL 14 (Q1 48:53) — (3:53) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short right to 8-B.Robinson for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q1 48:46) — 6-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–3. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the WAS 4 (Q2 38:32) — (8:32) 1-M.Mariota pass short left to 85-M.Pruitt for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q2 38:26) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.; Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the ATL 12 (Q2 31:54) — (1:54) 6-J.Slye 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way..

The third quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 6–3. Washington Commanders found the end zone from the ATL 16 (Q3 19:09) — (4:09) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass deep right to 87-J.Bates for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the WAS 30 (Q3 16:22) — (1:22) 7-Y.Koo 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion..

The fourth quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 3–0. Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the ATL 27 (Q4 9:10) — (9:10) 6-J.Slye 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way. Penalty on ATL-28-M.Ford, Defensive Offside, declined..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:03) — (1:03) (Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota pass short middle intended for 84-C.Patterson INTERCEPTED by 29-K.Fuller (94-D.Payne) at WAS -2. Touchback. [WPA -43.5% · EPA -4.89]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 3:44) — (3:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota pass short right to 17-O.Zaccheaus to WAS 25 for 45 yards (22-D.Forrest). [WPA +16.8% · EPA +2.72]
  • Washington Commanders (Q2 30:24) — (:24) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short middle intended for 1-J.Dotson INTERCEPTED by 3-M.Walker at ATL 32. 3-M.Walker to ATL 44 for 12 yards (10-C.Samuel). [WPA -10.8% · EPA -2.15]
  • Washington Commanders (Q3 19:09) — (4:09) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass deep right to 87-J.Bates for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.8% · EPA +2.02]
  • Washington Commanders (Q2 34:45) — (4:45) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short right to 17-T.McLaurin ran ob at ATL 35 for 13 yards. WAS-53-T.Turner was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. 53-T.Turner Ankle injury [WPA +10.0% · EPA +2.09]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:03) — (1:03) (Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota pass short middle intended for 84-C.Patterson INTERCEPTED by 29-K.Fuller (94-D.Payne) at WAS -2. Touchback. [WPA -43.5% · EPA -4.89]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 3:44) — (3:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota pass short right to 17-O.Zaccheaus to WAS 25 for 45 yards (22-D.Forrest). [WPA +16.8% · EPA +2.72]
  • Washington Commanders (Q3 22:18) — (7:18) (Shotgun) 8-B.Robinson left guard to ATL 37 for 3 yards (97-G.Jarrett; 3-M.Walker). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +2.17]
  • Washington Commanders (Q2 30:24) — (:24) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short middle intended for 1-J.Dotson INTERCEPTED by 3-M.Walker at ATL 32. 3-M.Walker to ATL 44 for 12 yards (10-C.Samuel). [WPA -10.8% · EPA -2.15]

Quarterback report card

M.Mariota led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Mariota (Atlanta Falcons) · 26 dropbacks · 57.7% completion · -4.4% CPOE · -0.18 EPA/play · -4.72 total EPA
  • T.Heinicke (Washington Commanders) · 24 dropbacks · 58.3% completion · -2.8% CPOE · +0.04 EPA/play · +0.85 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatAtlanta FalconsWashington Commanders
Offensive EPA/play+0.004+0.078
Offensive success rate44.9%51.3%
Pass EPA/play-0.182+0.036
Rush EPA/play+0.172+0.101
Defensive EPA/play-0.078-0.004
Defensive success rate48.7%55.1%

By the numbers

Washington Commanders held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.08 vs +0.00), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 9 drives, +0.30 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Washington Commanders: 9 drives, +5.93 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Washington Commanders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • B. Robinson (Washington Commanders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Mariota (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q1 53:12 · WAS 29 · Score 3-0
    (8:12) 7-Y.Koo 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
  2. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q1 48:53 · ATL 14 · Score 3-6
    (3:53) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short right to 8-B.Robinson for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q1 48:46 · ATL 15 · Score 3-7
    6-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.
  4. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 38:32 · WAS 4 · Score 9-7
    (8:32) 1-M.Mariota pass short left to 85-M.Pruitt for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 38:26 · WAS 15 · Score 10-7
    7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
  6. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q2 31:54 · ATL 12 · Score 10-10
    (1:54) 6-J.Slye 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.
  7. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q3 19:09 · ATL 16 · Score 10-16
    (4:09) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass deep right to 87-J.Bates for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q3 16:22 · WAS 30 · Score 13-16
    (1:22) 7-Y.Koo 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
  9. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q4 9:10 · ATL 27 · Score 13-19
    (9:10) 6-J.Slye 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way. Penalty on ATL-28-M.Ford, Defensive Offside, declined.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders?

The Washington Commanders beat the Atlanta Falcons 19-13 in Week 12, 2022 on 2022-11-27.

What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders?

The final score was Atlanta Falcons 13, Washington Commanders 19 (ATL 13-19 WAS) in Week 12, 2022 on 2022-11-27.

What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders?

Q1: Atlanta Falcons 3, Washington Commanders 7; Q2: Atlanta Falcons 7, Washington Commanders 3; Q3: Atlanta Falcons 3, Washington Commanders 6; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 0, Washington Commanders 3; Final: Atlanta Falcons 13, Washington Commanders 19.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders?

Washington Commanders touchdown — B. Robinson (T. Heinicke pass) (Q1 48:53) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Pruitt (M. Mariota pass) (Q2 38:32) Washington Commanders touchdown — J. Bates (T. Heinicke pass) (Q3 19:09) Atlanta Falcons field goal — Y. Koo (Q1 53:12, 3 pts) Washington Commanders field goal — J. Slye (Q2 31:54, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — Y. Koo (Q3 16:22, 3 pts) Washington Commanders field goal — J. Slye (Q4 9:10, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders?

M. Mariota (Atlanta Falcons), 57.7% completion, -4.4% CPOE, -0.18 EPA per dropback, -4.72 total passing EPA. T. Heinicke (Washington Commanders), 58.3% completion, -2.8% CPOE, +0.04 EPA per dropback, +0.85 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders?

B. Robinson (Washington Commanders) led the game in total EPA with +5.64 on rushing plays. across 18 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.89 EPA): (1:03) (Shotgun) 1-M.Mariota pass short middle intended for 84-C.Patterson INTERCEPTED by 29-K.Fuller (94-D.Payne) at WAS -2. Touchback.. The biggest win-probability swing was -43.5%.

Was Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders a close game?

Yes — the margin was 6 points. Washington Commanders won 19-13 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 5-6 Now 5-7 L

Washington Commanders

Entered 6-5 Now 7-5 W