FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 11 · November 17, 2013 · 12 min read

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2013 Week 11 Recap

Buccaneers defeat Falcons 41–28 in Week 11

M.Glennon led Fantasy Impact as Buccaneers prevailed in a 28–41 Week 11 finish.

Atlanta Falcons 28 2–8
Final 28–41
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 41 2–8 Winner
Winner
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final score
28–41
Halftime
Atlanta Falcons 6–24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
Matt Ryan
FantasyHQ MVP
M.Glennon
Game date
November 17, 2013

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Arian Smith
    Arian Smith 2 CAR · 88 YDS · 1 TD +7.5 Fantasy Impact
  • H.Douglas 6 REC · 134 YDS · 1 TD +6.7 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Gonzalez 7 REC · 63 YDS +5.7 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • M.Glennon 20/29 · 228 YDS · 2 TD +9.0 Fantasy Impact
  • V.Jackson 10 REC · 165 YDS · 1 TD +8.9 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Rainey 31 CAR · 163 YDS · 2 TD +5.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated the Atlanta Falcons 41–28 in Week 11 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-11-17, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-17.5% win probability) came in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 11 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-11-17, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 41–28 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 27 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with -7.14 total EPA, and -11.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Glennon (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.01 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.5% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (7:19) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 42-P.DiMarco INTERCEPTED by 59-M.Foster [56-D.Watson] at ATL 37. 59-M.Foster for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Atlanta Falcons06715028
Tampa Bay Buccaneers321143041

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Glennon · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +9.01 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
  2. 2 V. Jackson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +8.93 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
  3. 3 A. Smith · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +7.46 total EPA · 2 snaps · +3.73 EPA/play
  4. 4 H. Douglas · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +6.70 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
  5. 5 T. Gonzalez · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +5.69 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
  6. 6 B. Rainey · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +5.60 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  7. 7 D. Davis · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +3.09 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Rodgers · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +2.90 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Glennon — TB · Passing

M. Glennon posted the highest total EPA (+9.01) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 29 counted snaps, they averaged +0.31 EPA per play.

The signature play (-8.43 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (7:19) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 42-P.DiMarco INTERCEPTED by 59-M.Foster [56-D.Watson] at ATL 37. 59-M.Foster for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — B. Rainey (Q2 40:25)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Foster (Q2 37:19)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — B. Rainey (Q2 33:23)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — B. Rainey (M. Glennon pass) (Q3 24:40)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — V. Jackson (M. Glennon pass) (Q3 16:59)
  • Atlanta Falcons — H. Douglas (M. Ryan pass) (Q3 16:15)
  • Atlanta Falcons — A. Smith (Q4 5:33)
  • Atlanta Falcons — R. White (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 1:48)

Field goals

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Lindell (Q1 46:51)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q2 42:14)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q2 31:01)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Lindell (Q4 7:23)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 12 (Q1 46:51) — (1:51) (Field Goal formation) 4-R.Lindell 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 21–6. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 27 (Q2 42:14) — (12:14) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 43 (Q2 40:25) — (10:25) 43-B.Rainey right guard for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 40:14) — 4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the TB 66 (Q2 37:19); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 37:05) — 4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 3 (Q2 33:23) — (3:23) 43-B.Rainey up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 33:16) — 4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 31 (Q2 31:01) — (1:01) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 4 (Q3 24:40) — (9:40) (Shotgun) 8-M.Glennon pass short right to 43-B.Rainey for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q3 24:34) — 4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 3 (Q3 16:59) — (1:59) (Shotgun) 8-M.Glennon pass short left to 83-V.Jackson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q3 16:54) — 4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 80 (Q3 16:15) — (1:15) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle to 83-H.Douglas for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q3 16:02) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 15–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 28 (Q4 7:23) — (7:23) (Field Goal formation) 4-R.Lindell 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 50 (Q4 5:33) — (5:33) (Shotgun) 35-A.Smith up the middle for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons registered a safety from the TB 2 (Q4 5:22) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-Dom.Davis pass to 88-T.Gonzalez is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 6 (Q4 1:48); Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 1:45) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 37:19) — (7:19) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 42-P.DiMarco INTERCEPTED by 59-M.Foster [56-D.Watson] at ATL 37. 59-M.Foster for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -17.5% · EPA -8.43]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 40:25) — (10:25) 43-B.Rainey right guard for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.3% · EPA +5.07]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 42:02) — (12:02) 8-M.Glennon pass deep right to 83-V.Jackson to ATL 34 for 47 yards (22-A.Samuel). [WPA +9.2% · EPA +2.85]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 88-T.Gonzalez to 50 for 6 yards (27-J.Banks). PENALTY on TB-94-A.Clayborn, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at 50. [WPA +8.7% · EPA +1.84]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 55:11) — (10:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at TB 49 for -10 yards (93-G.McCoy). [WPA -6.8% · EPA -1.71]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 37:19) — (7:19) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 42-P.DiMarco INTERCEPTED by 59-M.Foster [56-D.Watson] at ATL 37. 59-M.Foster for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -17.5% · EPA -8.43]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q3 16:15) — (1:15) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle to 83-H.Douglas for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.0% · EPA +6.93]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 40:25) — (10:25) 43-B.Rainey right guard for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.3% · EPA +5.07]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 5:33) — (5:33) (Shotgun) 35-A.Smith up the middle for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +0.1% · EPA +4.97]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 42 dropbacks · 45.2% completion · -11.2% CPOE · -0.17 EPA/play · -7.14 total EPA
  • M.Glennon (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 29 dropbacks · 69.0% completion · +21.2% CPOE · +0.31 EPA/play · +9.01 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatAtlanta FalconsTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play+0.007+0.154
Offensive success rate44.4%49.4%
Pass EPA/play-0.079+0.204
Rush EPA/play+0.455+0.097
Defensive EPA/play-0.154-0.007
Defensive success rate50.6%55.6%

By the numbers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.15 vs +0.01), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 13 drives, +0.59 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 13 drives, +13.69 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • M. Glennon (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Ryan (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • M. Glennon (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 46:51 · ATL 12 · Score 0-3
    (1:51) (Field Goal formation) 4-R.Lindell 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  2. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 42:14 · TB 27 · Score 3-3
    (12:14) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 40:25 · ATL 43 · Score 3-9
    (10:25) 43-B.Rainey right guard for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 40:14 · ATL 2 · Score 3-10
    4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 37:19 · TB 66 · Score 3-16
    (7:19) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 42-P.DiMarco INTERCEPTED by 59-M.Foster [56-D.Watson] at ATL 37. 59-M.Foster for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 37:05 · ATL 2 · Score 3-17
    4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 33:23 · ATL 3 · Score 3-23
    (3:23) 43-B.Rainey up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 33:16 · ATL 2 · Score 3-24
    4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  9. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 31:01 · TB 31 · Score 6-24
    (1:01) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 24:40 · ATL 4 · Score 6-30
    (9:40) (Shotgun) 8-M.Glennon pass short right to 43-B.Rainey for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 24:34 · ATL 2 · Score 6-31
    4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 16:59 · ATL 3 · Score 6-37
    (1:59) (Shotgun) 8-M.Glennon pass short left to 83-V.Jackson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 16:54 · ATL 2 · Score 6-38
    4-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  14. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 16:15 · TB 80 · Score 12-38
    (1:15) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle to 83-H.Douglas for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  15. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q3 16:02 · TB 2 · Score 13-38
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 7:23 · ATL 28 · Score 13-41
    (7:23) (Field Goal formation) 4-R.Lindell 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  17. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 5:33 · TB 50 · Score 19-41
    (5:33) (Shotgun) 35-A.Smith up the middle for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  18. Atlanta Falcons Safety (+2) — Q4 5:22 · TB 2 · Score 21-41
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-Dom.Davis pass to 88-T.Gonzalez is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  19. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 1:48 · TB 6 · Score 27-41
    (1:48) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 84-R.White to TB 1 for 5 yards (54-L.David). FUMBLES (54-L.David), recovered by ATL-80-L.Toilolo at TB 1. 80-L.Toi
  20. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 1:45 · TB 2 · Score 28-41
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Atlanta Falcons 41-28 in Week 11, 2013 on 2013-11-17.

What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Atlanta Falcons 28, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 41 (ATL 28-41 TB) in Week 11, 2013 on 2013-11-17.

What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Atlanta Falcons 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q2: Atlanta Falcons 6, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21; Q3: Atlanta Falcons 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 15, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Final: Atlanta Falcons 28, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 41.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — B. Rainey (Q2 40:25) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Foster (Q2 37:19) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — B. Rainey (Q2 33:23) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — B. Rainey (M. Glennon pass) (Q3 24:40) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — V. Jackson (M. Glennon pass) (Q3 16:59) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — H. Douglas (M. Ryan pass) (Q3 16:15) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — A. Smith (Q4 5:33) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — R. White (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 1:48) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Lindell (Q1 46:51, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q2 42:14, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q2 31:01, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Lindell (Q4 7:23, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 45.2% completion, -11.2% CPOE, -0.17 EPA per dropback, -7.14 total passing EPA. M. Glennon (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 69.0% completion, +21.2% CPOE, +0.31 EPA per dropback, +9.01 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

M. Glennon (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +9.01 on passing plays. across 29 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-8.43 EPA): (7:19) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 42-P.DiMarco INTERCEPTED by 59-M.Foster [56-D.Watson] at ATL 37. 59-M.Foster for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -17.5%.

Season records after this game

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 2-7 Now 2-8 L

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 1-8 Now 2-8 W