Game story
In Week 12 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-11-25, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 24–23 final that came down to the wire.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with +14.85 total EPA, and +16.9% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.85 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-45.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (:03) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass incomplete deep middle.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 24 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 23 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +14.85 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
- 2 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +10.67 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.19 EPA/play
- 3 J. Freeman · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +8.96 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
- 4 T. Gonzalez · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +7.25 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.45 EPA/play
- 5 V. Jackson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +6.97 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
- 6 D. Clark · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.74 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.43 EPA/play
- 7 Jz. Rodgers · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +2.51 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
- 8 M. Williams · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +2.28 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.28 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
M. Ryan — ATL · Passing
M. Ryan posted the highest total EPA (+14.85) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 36 counted snaps, they averaged +0.41 EPA per play.
The signature play (+6.85 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (8:37) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 11-J.Jones for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Martin
- Atlanta Falcons — unlisted player
- Atlanta Falcons — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Martin
- Atlanta Falcons — M. Turner
Field goals
- Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–3. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 13 (Q1 52:43) — (7:43) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q1 46:19) — (1:19) 22-D.Martin left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q1 46:12) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen..
The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–3. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 5 (Q2 40:33) — (10:33) (Shotgun) 32-Jz. Rodgers right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 40:25) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 4 (Q2 33:41) — (3:41) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen..
The third quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 24 (Q3 23:42) — (8:42) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 80 (Q3 23:37) — (8:37) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 11-J.Jones for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q3 23:26) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..
The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 22-D.Martin left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q4 14:56) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 30 (Q4 10:33) — (10:33) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q4 8:01) — (8:01) 33-M.Turner left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 7:55) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:03) — (:03) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass incomplete deep middle.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q3 23:37) — (8:37) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 11-J.Jones for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 3:37) — (3:37) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 56 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:08) — (:08) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 44-D.Clark ran ob at TB 47 for 9 yards.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q2 36:00) — (6:00) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Barber [91-D.Bowers] at TB 41. 20-R.Barber to ATL 31 for 28 yards (11-J.Jones). Penalty on ATL-72-S.Baker, Offens
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q3 23:37) — (8:37) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 11-J.Jones for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q2 36:00) — (6:00) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Barber [91-D.Bowers] at TB 41. 20-R.Barber to ATL 31 for 28 yards (11-J.Jones). Penalty on ATL-72-S.Baker, Offens
- Atlanta Falcons (Q4 11:32) — (11:32) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 36 for -8 yards (31-E.Biggers). FUMBLES (31-E.Biggers) [31-E.Biggers], RECOVERED by TB-93-G.McCoy at ATL 36. 93-G.McCoy to ATL 36 for no gain (72-S.Baker).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 18:56) — (3:56) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep middle to 11-T.Underwood to ATL 44 for 39 yards (56-S.Weatherspoon).
Quarterback report card
M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 36 dropbacks · 72.2% completion · +16.9% CPOE · +0.41 EPA/play · +14.85 total EPA
- J.Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 34 dropbacks · 55.9% completion · +9.8% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +8.96 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Atlanta Falcons | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.136 | +0.087 |
| Offensive success rate | 56.8% | 45.2% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.412 | +0.321 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.082 | -0.166 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.087 | -0.136 |
| Defensive success rate | 54.8% | 43.2% |
By the numbers
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Atlanta Falcons +0.14, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.09) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
- Atlanta Falcons: 9 drives, +10.07 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9 drives, +6.32 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- J. Freeman (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q1 52:43 · TB 13 · Score 3-0
(7:43) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 46:19 · ATL 1 · Score 3-6
(1:19) 22-D.Martin left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 46:12 · ATL 2 · Score 3-7
10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 40:33 · TB 5 · Score 9-7
(10:33) (Shotgun) 32-Jz. Rodgers right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 40:25 · TB 2 · Score 10-7
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 33:41 · ATL 4 · Score 10-10
(3:41) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 23:42 · ATL 24 · Score 10-13
(8:42) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 23:37 · TB 80 · Score 16-13
(8:37) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 11-J.Jones for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q3 23:26 · TB 2 · Score 17-13
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · ATL 1 · Score 17-19
(15:00) 22-D.Martin left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 14:56 · ATL 2 · Score 17-20
10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 10:33 · ATL 30 · Score 17-23
(10:33) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 8:01 · TB 3 · Score 23-23
(8:01) 33-M.Turner left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 7:55 · TB 2 · Score 24-23
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The Atlanta Falcons beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24-23 in Week 12, 2012 on 2012-11-25.
What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The final score was Atlanta Falcons 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23 (ATL 24-23 TB) in Week 12, 2012 on 2012-11-25.
What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Q1: Atlanta Falcons 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q2: Atlanta Falcons 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q3: Atlanta Falcons 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10; Final: Atlanta Falcons 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — D. Martin (Q1 46:19) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — unlisted player (Q2 40:33) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q3 23:37) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — D. Martin (Q4 15:00) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Turner (Q4 8:01) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q1 52:43, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q2 33:41, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q3 23:42, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q4 10:33, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 72.2% completion, +16.9% CPOE, +0.41 EPA per dropback, +14.85 total passing EPA. J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 55.9% completion, +9.8% CPOE, +0.26 EPA per dropback, +8.96 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +14.85 on passing plays. across 36 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.85 EPA): (8:37) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 11-J.Jones for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -45.3%.
Was Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?
Yes — the margin was 1 points. Atlanta Falcons won 24-23 in a game that came down to the wire.
Season records after this game
Atlanta Falcons
Entered 9-1 Now 10-1 W
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 6-4 Now 6-5 L
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