Game story
In Week 13 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-12-05, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 28–24 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -2.22 total EPA, and -8.2% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, O. Mughelli (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.60 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-41.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (2:00) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right intended for 19-M.Williams INTERCEPTED by 20-B.Grimes at ATL 19. 20-B.Grimes pushed ob at TB 48 for 33 yards (5-J.Freeman). PENALTY on TB-5-J.Freeman, Per
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 28 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 24 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 O. Mughelli · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.60 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.53 EPA/play
- 2 M. Jenkins · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.96 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
- 3 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +3.49 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.09 EPA/play
- 4 S. Stroughter · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.93 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
- 5 G. Johnson · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.18 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.09 EPA/play
- 6 E. Graham · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +1.32 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.32 EPA/play
- 7 M. Turner · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +1.30 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.05 EPA/play
- 8 J. Gilmore · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.17 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
O. Mughelli — ATL · Receiving
O. Mughelli posted the highest total EPA (+4.60) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 3 counted snaps, they averaged +1.53 EPA per play.
The signature play (+6.44 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: 10-C.Barth kicks 72 yards from TB 30 to ATL -2. 14-E.Weems for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Tampa Bay challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #2 at 10:03.)
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Atlanta Falcons — M. Turner
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — L. Blount
- Atlanta Falcons — O. Mughelli (M. Ryan pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Williams (J. Freeman pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Gilmore (E. Graham pass)
- Atlanta Falcons — E. Weems
- Atlanta Falcons — M. Jenkins (M. Ryan pass)
Field goals
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 5 (Q1 51:29) — (6:29) 33-M.Turner left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 51:23) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 6 (Q1 45:31) — (:31) 27-L.Blount up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q1 45:25) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone..
The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 17 (Q2 34:46) — (4:46) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 34-O.Mughelli for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 34:37) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q2 30:20) — (:20) 5-J.Freeman pass short left to 19-M.Williams for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 30:15).
The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 15 (Q3 26:41) — (11:41) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone..
The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 14–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 2 (Q4 10:30) — (10:30) 34-E.Graham pass short right to 88-J.Gilmore for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q4 10:24) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 30 (Q4 10:24); Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 10:03) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 9 (Q4 4:36) — (4:36) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 12-M.Jenkins for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 4:31) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right intended for 19-M.Williams INTERCEPTED by 20-B.Grimes at ATL 19. 20-B.Grimes pushed ob at TB 48 for 33 yards (5-J.Freeman). PENALTY on TB-5-J.Freeman, Per
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 2:18) — (2:18) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep middle to 18-S.Stroughter to ATL 27 for 19 yards (25-W.Moore).
- Atlanta Falcons (Q4 7:40) — (7:40) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 84-R.White pushed ob at ATL 48 for 25 yards (41-C.Lynch).
- Atlanta Falcons (Q2 31:55) — (1:55) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left intended for 88-T.Gonzalez INTERCEPTED by 26-S.Jones at TB 39. 26-S.Jones to ATL 30 for 31 yards (84-R.White).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 3:20) — (3:20) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep middle to 19-M.Williams to ATL 44 for 21 yards (23-D.Robinson).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q4 10:24) — 10-C.Barth kicks 72 yards from TB 30 to ATL -2. 14-E.Weems for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Tampa Bay challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #2 at 10:03.)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right intended for 19-M.Williams INTERCEPTED by 20-B.Grimes at ATL 19. 20-B.Grimes pushed ob at TB 48 for 33 yards (5-J.Freeman). PENALTY on TB-5-J.Freeman, Per
- Atlanta Falcons (Q2 31:55) — (1:55) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left intended for 88-T.Gonzalez INTERCEPTED by 26-S.Jones at TB 39. 26-S.Jones to ATL 30 for 31 yards (84-R.White).
- Atlanta Falcons (Q2 34:46) — (4:46) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 34-O.Mughelli for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Quarterback report card
J.Freeman led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 44 dropbacks · 43.2% completion · -8.2% CPOE · -0.05 EPA/play · -2.22 total EPA
- M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 37 dropbacks · 48.6% completion · -8.9% CPOE · +0.09 EPA/play · +3.49 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Atlanta Falcons | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.094 | +0.020 |
| Offensive success rate | 45.9% | 44.8% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.094 | -0.020 |
| Rush EPA/play | +0.050 | +0.085 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.020 | -0.094 |
| Defensive success rate | 55.2% | 54.1% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Atlanta Falcons generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs +0.02), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Atlanta Falcons: 13 drives, +7.95 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 12 drives, +1.72 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- O. Mughelli (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- J. Freeman (TB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
- M. Ryan (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 51:29 · TB 5 · Score 6-0
(6:29) 33-M.Turner left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 51:23 · TB 2 · Score 7-0
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 45:31 · ATL 6 · Score 7-6
(:31) 27-L.Blount up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 45:25 · ATL 2 · Score 7-7
10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 34:46 · TB 17 · Score 13-7
(4:46) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 34-O.Mughelli for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 34:37 · TB 2 · Score 14-7
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 30:20 · ATL 1 · Score 14-13
(:20) 5-J.Freeman pass short left to 19-M.Williams for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 30:15 · ATL 2 · Score 14-14
10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone. PENALTY on TB-76-J.Zuttah, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 26:41 · ATL 15 · Score 14-17
(11:41) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 10:30 · ATL 2 · Score 14-23
(10:30) 34-E.Graham pass short right to 88-J.Gilmore for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 10:24 · ATL 2 · Score 14-24
10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 10:24 · TB 30 · Score 20-24
10-C.Barth kicks 72 yards from TB 30 to ATL -2. 14-E.Weems for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Tampa Bay challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Uphe - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 10:03 · TB 2 · Score 21-24
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 4:36 · TB 9 · Score 27-24
(4:36) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 12-M.Jenkins for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 4:31 · TB 2 · Score 28-24
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The Atlanta Falcons beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28-24 in Week 13, 2010 on 2010-12-05.
What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The final score was Atlanta Falcons 28, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24 (ATL 28-24 TB) in Week 13, 2010 on 2010-12-05.
What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Q1: Atlanta Falcons 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q2: Atlanta Falcons 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q3: Atlanta Falcons 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 14, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Final: Atlanta Falcons 28, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Turner (Q1 51:29) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — L. Blount (Q1 45:31) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — O. Mughelli (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 34:46) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Williams (J. Freeman pass) (Q2 30:20) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Gilmore (E. Graham pass) (Q4 10:30) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — E. Weems (Q4 10:24) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Jenkins (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 4:36) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q3 26:41, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 43.2% completion, -8.2% CPOE, -0.05 EPA per dropback, -2.22 total passing EPA. M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 48.6% completion, -8.9% CPOE, +0.09 EPA per dropback, +3.49 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
O. Mughelli (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +4.60 on receiving plays. across 3 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.44 EPA): 10-C.Barth kicks 72 yards from TB 30 to ATL -2. 14-E.Weems for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Tampa Bay challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #2 at 1. The biggest win-probability swing was -41.3%.
Was Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?
Yes — the margin was 4 points. Atlanta Falcons won 28-24 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
Season records after this game
Atlanta Falcons
Entered 9-2 Now 10-2 W
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 7-4 Now 7-5 L
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