Game story
In Week 15 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-12-16, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 37–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.
The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Garcia (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -2.16 total EPA, and -0.7% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, M. Clayton (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +3.05 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-15.9% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (14:11) (Shotgun) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 12-M.Jenkins INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Barber at ATL 29. 20-R.Barber for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 14 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 37 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 M. Clayton · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.05 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.52 EPA/play
- 2 I. Hilliard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.89 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.89 EPA/play
- 3 E. Graham · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.69 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
- 4 M. Pittman · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +2.68 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
- 5 M. Bennett · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +2.63 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
- 6 J. Norwood · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +2.53 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
- 7 A. Becht · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.18 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.09 EPA/play
- 8 L. Robinson · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.22 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.22 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
M. Clayton — TB · Receiving
M. Clayton posted the highest total EPA (+3.05) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 2 counted snaps, they averaged +1.52 EPA per play.
The signature play (+6.19 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9-M.Koenen kicks 60 yards from ATL 30 to TB 10. 17-M.Spurlock for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Barber
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Spurlock
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — E. Graham
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — A. Becht (J. Garcia pass)
Field goals
- Atlanta Falcons — M. Andersen
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Bryant
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Bryant
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Bryant
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the TB 78 (Q1 59:11); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q1 59:00) — (Kick formation) 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 15 (Q1 51:38) — (6:38) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Andersen 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Schneck, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 30 (Q1 51:32) — 9-M.Koenen kicks 60 yards from ATL 30 to TB 10. 17-M.Spurlock for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q1 51:19) — (Kick formation) 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell..
The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 13–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 15 (Q2 41:31) — (11:31) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q2 34:16) — (4:16) 34-E.Graham up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 34:09) — (Kick formation) 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 10 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell..
The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 16 (Q3 19:13) — (4:13) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell..
The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q4 7:48) — (7:48) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 88-A.Becht for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q4 7:42) — (Kick formation) 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q1 59:11) — (14:11) (Shotgun) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 12-M.Jenkins INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Barber at ATL 29. 20-R.Barber for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 51:32) — 9-M.Koenen kicks 60 yards from ATL 30 to TB 10. 17-M.Spurlock for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 56:03) — (11:03) 7-J.Garcia pass short left to 34-E.Graham to ATL 45 for 5 yards (56-K.Brooking).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 45:47) — (:47) (Shotgun) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 19-I.Hilliard to ATL 24 for 9 yards (23-C.Houston).
- Atlanta Falcons (Q1 57:32) — (12:32) (Punt formation) 9-M.Koenen punts 40 yards to TB 34, Center-46-M.Schneck. 19-I.Hilliard to TB 42 for 8 yards (34-O.Mughelli).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 51:32) — 9-M.Koenen kicks 60 yards from ATL 30 to TB 10. 17-M.Spurlock for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q1 59:11) — (14:11) (Shotgun) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 12-M.Jenkins INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Barber at ATL 29. 20-R.Barber for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q3 21:36) — (6:36) 8-C.Redman pass short middle intended for 32-J.Norwood INTERCEPTED by 23-J.Phillips at ATL 25. 23-J.Phillips to ATL 23 for 2 yards (32-J.Norwood).
- Atlanta Falcons (Q2 35:22) — (5:22) (Shotgun) 8-C.Redman sacked at ATL 5 for -8 yards (90-G.Adams). FUMBLES (90-G.Adams) [90-G.Adams], RECOVERED by TB-71-J.Haye at ATL 6. 71-J.Haye to ATL 6 for no gain (70-D.Batiste).
Quarterback report card
J.Garcia led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Garcia (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 28 dropbacks · 53.6% completion · -0.7% CPOE · -0.08 EPA/play · -2.16 total EPA
- C.Redman (Atlanta Falcons) · 18 dropbacks · 22.2% completion · -36.8% CPOE · -1.28 EPA/play · -23.07 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Atlanta Falcons | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.565 | +0.059 |
| Offensive success rate | 31.4% | 46.3% |
| Pass EPA/play | -1.282 | -0.077 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.220 | +0.091 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.059 | +0.565 |
| Defensive success rate | 53.7% | 68.6% |
By the numbers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.06 vs -0.56), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- Atlanta Falcons: 12 drives, -28.82 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 13 drives, +5.58 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- M. Clayton (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- C. Redman (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 59:11 · TB 78 · Score 0-6
(14:11) (Shotgun) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 12-M.Jenkins INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Barber at ATL 29. 20-R.Barber for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 59:00 · ATL 2 · Score 0-7
(Kick formation) 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q1 51:38 · TB 15 · Score 3-7
(6:38) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Andersen 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Schneck, Holder-9-M.Koenen. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 51:32 · ATL 30 · Score 3-13
9-M.Koenen kicks 60 yards from ATL 30 to TB 10. 17-M.Spurlock for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 51:19 · ATL 2 · Score 3-14
(Kick formation) 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 41:31 · ATL 15 · Score 3-17
(11:31) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 34:16 · ATL 1 · Score 3-23
(4:16) 34-E.Graham up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 34:09 · ATL 2 · Score 3-24
(Kick formation) 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · ATL 10 · Score 3-27
(:03) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 19:13 · ATL 16 · Score 3-30
(4:13) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 7:48 · ATL 1 · Score 3-36
(7:48) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 88-A.Becht for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 7:42 · ATL 2 · Score 3-37
(Kick formation) 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Atlanta Falcons 37-3 in Week 15, 2007 on 2007-12-16.
What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The final score was Atlanta Falcons 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37 (ATL 3-37 TB) in Week 15, 2007 on 2007-12-16.
What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Q1: Atlanta Falcons 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14; Q2: Atlanta Falcons 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13; Q3: Atlanta Falcons 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Final: Atlanta Falcons 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — R. Barber (Q1 59:11) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Spurlock (Q1 51:32) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — E. Graham (Q2 34:16) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — A. Becht (J. Garcia pass) (Q4 7:48) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Andersen (Q1 51:38, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — M. Bryant (Q2 41:31, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — M. Bryant (Q2 30:03, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — M. Bryant (Q3 19:13, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
J. Garcia (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 53.6% completion, -0.7% CPOE, -0.08 EPA per dropback, -2.16 total passing EPA. C. Redman (Atlanta Falcons), 22.2% completion, -36.8% CPOE, -1.28 EPA per dropback, -23.07 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
M. Clayton (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +3.05 on receiving plays. across 2 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.19 EPA): 9-M.Koenen kicks 60 yards from ATL 30 to TB 10. 17-M.Spurlock for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -15.9%.
Season records after this game
Atlanta Falcons
Entered 3-10 Now 3-11 L
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 8-5 Now 9-5 W
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