Atlanta Falcons vs. Seattle Seahawks: 2011 Week 4 Recap

Game story

In Week 4 of the 2011 NFL season on 2011-10-02, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Seattle Seahawks, pulling away with a 30–28 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with +19.53 total EPA, and +4.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +19.53 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-23.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Seattle Seahawks changed the game: (:13) 4-S.Hauschka 61 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +19.53 total EPA · 47 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Jackson · Seattle Seahawks · Passing · +11.09 total EPA · 41 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Baldwin · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +6.39 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
4. 4 R. White · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +6.19 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
5. 5 S. Rice · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +4.54 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.43 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
7. 7 B. Obomanu · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +3.40 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Gonzalez · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.33 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Atlanta Falcons — T. Gonzalez (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 51:12)
• Atlanta Falcons — M. Turner (Q2 40:19)
• Seattle Seahawks — S. Rice (T. Jackson pass) (Q2 38:54)
• Atlanta Falcons — M. Turner (Q2 32:53)
• Seattle Seahawks — M. Williams (T. Jackson pass) (Q3 25:05)
• Seattle Seahawks — M. Lynch (Q3 18:12)
• Seattle Seahawks — B. Obomanu (T. Jackson pass) (Q4 8:20)

Field goals

• Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q2 30:30)
• Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q3 28:45)
• Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q4 11:43)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the SEA 1 (Q1 51:12) — (6:12) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 88-T.Gonzalez for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the SEA 2 (Q1 51:08) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 17–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the SEA 21 (Q2 40:19) — (10:19) 33-M.Turner left guard for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the SEA 2 (Q2 40:13) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the ATL 52 (Q2 38:54); Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 38:46) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the SEA 1 (Q2 32:53) — (2:53) 74-W.Svitek reported in as eligible. 33-M.Turner right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the SEA 2 (Q2 32:48) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the SEA 29 (Q2 30:30) — (:30) 3-M.Bryant 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The third quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 14–3. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the SEA 32 (Q3 28:45) — (13:45) 3-M.Bryant 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the ATL 6 (Q3 25:05) — (10:05) 7-T.Jackson pass short right to 17-M.Williams for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q3 25:01) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the ATL 11 (Q3 18:12) — (3:12) 24-M.Lynch left tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. SEA-17-M.Williams was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q3 18:07) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

The fourth quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 7–3. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the SEA 23 (Q4 11:43) — (11:43) 3-M.Bryant 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the ATL 8 (Q4 8:20) — (8:20) (Shotgun) 7-T.Jackson pass short left to 87-B.Obomanu for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q4 8:13) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Seattle Seahawks (Q4 0:13) — (:13) 4-S.Hauschka 61 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan. [WPA -23.9% · EPA -1.19]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:56) — (1:56) 5-M.Bosher punts 28 yards to SEA 15, Center-82-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 33-L.Washington. [WPA -21.9% · EPA -0.58]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 41:50) — (11:50) (Shotgun) 7-T.Jackson pass short middle intended for 17-M.Williams INTERCEPTED by 50-C.Lofton (53-M.Peterson) at SEA 41. 50-C.Lofton to SEA 37 for 4 yards (60-M.Unger). [WPA -10.8% · EPA -4.14]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 38:54) — (8:54) 7-T.Jackson pass deep right to 18-S.Rice for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN [71-K.Biermann]. Penalty on ATL-55-J.Abraham, Defensive Offside, declined. PENALTY on SEA-18-S.Rice, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 [WPA +10.1% · EPA +4.48]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 4:05) — (4:05) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan scrambles left end to SEA 45 for 10 yards (98-R.Brock). [WPA +10.0% · EPA +1.53]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 38:54) — (8:54) 7-T.Jackson pass deep right to 18-S.Rice for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN [71-K.Biermann]. Penalty on ATL-55-J.Abraham, Defensive Offside, declined. PENALTY on SEA-18-S.Rice, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 [WPA +10.1% · EPA +4.48]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 41:50) — (11:50) (Shotgun) 7-T.Jackson pass short middle intended for 17-M.Williams INTERCEPTED by 50-C.Lofton (53-M.Peterson) at SEA 41. 50-C.Lofton to SEA 37 for 4 yards (60-M.Unger). [WPA -10.8% · EPA -4.14]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q3 19:57) — (4:57) 7-T.Jackson pass deep middle intended for 86-Z.Miller INTERCEPTED by 28-T.DeCoud (36-J.Sanders) at ATL -2. 28-T.DeCoud to ATL 5 for 7 yards (67-P.McQuistan). [WPA -9.5% · EPA -4.02]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 36:46) — (6:46) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 11-J.Jones pushed ob at SEA 36 for 29 yards (32-J.Johnson). [WPA +7.5% · EPA +3.37]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 47 dropbacks · 59.6% completion · +4.8% CPOE · +0.42 EPA/play · +19.53 total EPA
• T.Jackson (Seattle Seahawks) · 41 dropbacks · 61.0% completion · +10.4% CPOE · +0.27 EPA/play · +11.09 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Atlanta Falcons +0.17, Seattle Seahawks +0.17) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Atlanta Falcons: 11 drives, +17.14 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Seattle Seahawks: 11 drives, +12.14 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• T. Jackson (SEA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 51:12 · SEA 1 · Score 6-0
   (6:12) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 88-T.Gonzalez for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 51:08 · SEA 2 · Score 7-0
   3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
3. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 40:19 · SEA 21 · Score 13-0
   (10:19) 33-M.Turner left guard for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 40:13 · SEA 2 · Score 14-0
   3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
5. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q2 38:54 · ATL 52 · Score 14-6
   (8:54) 7-T.Jackson pass deep right to 18-S.Rice for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN [71-K.Biermann]. Penalty on ATL-55-J.Abraham, Defensive Offside, declined. PENALTY on SE
6. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q2 38:46 · ATL 2 · Score 14-7
   4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
7. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 32:53 · SEA 1 · Score 20-7
   (2:53) 74-W.Svitek reported in as eligible. 33-M.Turner right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 32:48 · SEA 2 · Score 21-7
   3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
9. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 30:30 · SEA 29 · Score 24-7
   (:30) 3-M.Bryant 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
10. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q3 28:45 · SEA 32 · Score 27-7
    (13:45) 3-M.Bryant 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
11. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q3 25:05 · ATL 6 · Score 27-13
    (10:05) 7-T.Jackson pass short right to 17-M.Williams for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q3 25:01 · ATL 2 · Score 27-14
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
13. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q3 18:12 · ATL 11 · Score 27-20
    (3:12) 24-M.Lynch left tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. SEA-17-M.Williams was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
14. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q3 18:07 · ATL 2 · Score 27-21
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
15. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 11:43 · SEA 23 · Score 30-21
    (11:43) 3-M.Bryant 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
16. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q4 8:20 · ATL 8 · Score 30-27
    (8:20) (Shotgun) 7-T.Jackson pass short left to 87-B.Obomanu for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q4 8:13 · ATL 2 · Score 30-28
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.