Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers: 2020 Week 4 Recap

Game story

In Week 4 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-10-05, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 30–16 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with +7.42 total EPA, and +6.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +25.63 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+9.5% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (12:30) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 11-J.Jones to GB 19 for 19 yards (25-W.Redmond; 23-J.Alexander) [31-A.Amos].

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +25.63 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Tonyan · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +12.23 total EPA · 6 snaps · +2.04 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +7.42 total EPA · 47 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
4. 4 O. Zaccheaus · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +5.45 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Williams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.33 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.34 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.08 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Valdes-Scantling · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.01 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Taylor · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.81 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.81 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — A. Jones (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 55:05)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Tonyan (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 32:34)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Tonyan (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 30:50)
• Atlanta Falcons — T. Gurley (Q3 22:25)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Tonyan (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 20:24)
• Atlanta Falcons — T. Gurley (Q4 12:58)

Field goals

• Atlanta Falcons — E. Fry (Q2 37:41)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 6:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 6 (Q1 55:05) — (10:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 33-A.Jones for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q1 55:01) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 13–3. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the GB 5 (Q2 37:41) — (7:41) 1-E.Fry 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 19 (Q2 32:34) — (2:34) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 85-R.Tonyan for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 8 (Q2 30:50) — (:50) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 85-R.Tonyan for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q2 30:46) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–6. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 5 (Q3 22:25) — (7:25) 21-T.Gurley left tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 21 (Q3 20:24); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q3 20:18) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–3. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 3 (Q4 12:58) — (12:58) (Shotgun) 21-T.Gurley left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 12:52) — 1-E.Fry extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the ATL 30 (Q4 6:00) — (6:00) 2-M.Crosby 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 42:30) — (12:30) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 11-J.Jones to GB 19 for 19 yards (25-W.Redmond; 23-J.Alexander) [31-A.Amos]. [WPA +9.5% · EPA +4.17]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 39:47) — (9:47) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan scrambles right tackle to GB 5 for 6 yards (31-A.Amos). [WPA +7.6% · EPA +2.64]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 35:18) — (5:18) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 83-M.Valdes-Scantling to ATL 33 for 14 yards (20-K.Sheffield). [WPA +6.3% · EPA +2.01]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 58:28) — (13:28) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 85-R.Tonyan to ATL 46 for 27 yards (32-J.Hawkins; 27-D.Kazee). [WPA +5.7% · EPA +2.23]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 48:19) — (3:19) (Shotgun) 30-J.Williams up the middle to ATL 1 for no gain (45-D.Jones). [WPA -5.7% · EPA -4.00]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q2 32:34) — (2:34) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 85-R.Tonyan for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.5% · EPA +4.17]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 42:30) — (12:30) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 11-J.Jones to GB 19 for 19 yards (25-W.Redmond; 23-J.Alexander) [31-A.Amos]. [WPA +9.5% · EPA +4.17]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 48:19) — (3:19) (Shotgun) 30-J.Williams up the middle to ATL 1 for no gain (45-D.Jones). [WPA -5.7% · EPA -4.00]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q3 16:15) — (1:15) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete deep right to 18-C.Ridley [55-Z.Smith]. Penalty on GB-37-J.Jackson, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. PENALTY on GB-55-Z.Smith, Roughing the Passer, 15 y [WPA +1.5% · EPA +3.65]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 47 dropbacks · 59.6% completion · +6.7% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +7.42 total EPA
• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 38 dropbacks · 71.1% completion · +17.2% CPOE · +0.67 EPA/play · +25.63 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.24 vs +0.04), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Atlanta Falcons: 9 drives, +3.30 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• Green Bay Packers: 9 drives, +17.53 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 55:05 · ATL 6 · Score 0-6
   (10:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 33-A.Jones for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 55:01 · ATL 15 · Score 0-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
3. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 37:41 · GB 5 · Score 3-7
   (7:41) 1-E.Fry 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter.
4. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 32:34 · ATL 19 · Score 3-13
   (2:34) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 85-R.Tonyan for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 30:50 · ATL 8 · Score 3-19
   (:50) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 85-R.Tonyan for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 30:46 · ATL 15 · Score 3-20
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
7. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 22:25 · GB 5 · Score 9-20
   (7:25) 21-T.Gurley left tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 20:24 · ATL 21 · Score 9-26
   (5:24) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 85-R.Tonyan for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ATL-35-J.Carter, Defensive Holding, declined.
9. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 20:18 · ATL 15 · Score 9-27
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
10. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 12:58 · GB 3 · Score 15-27
    (12:58) (Shotgun) 21-T.Gurley left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 12:52 · GB 15 · Score 16-27
    1-E.Fry extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter.
12. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 6:00 · ATL 30 · Score 16-30
    (6:00) 2-M.Crosby 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.