FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 14 · December 8, 2014 · 12 min read

Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers: 2014 Week 14 Recap

Packers defeat Falcons 43–37 in Week 14

Matt Ryan led Fantasy Impact as Packers prevailed in a 37–43 Week 14 finish.

Atlanta Falcons 37 5–8
Final 37–43
Green Bay Packers 43 10–3 Winner
Winner
Green Bay Packers
Final score
37–43
Halftime
Atlanta Falcons 7–31 Green Bay Packers
Top passer
Matt Ryan
FantasyHQ MVP
Matt Ryan
Game date
December 8, 2014

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Matt Ryan
    Matt Ryan 24/42 · 397 YDS · 4 TD +24.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Justin Jones
    Justin Jones 11 REC · 259 YDS · 1 TD +19.8 Fantasy Impact
  • H.Douglas 2 REC · 11 YDS · 1 TD +6.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • Aaron Rodgers
    Aaron Rodgers 24/41 · 343 YDS · 3 TD +20.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Jack Nelson
    Jack Nelson 8 REC · 146 YDS · 2 TD +11.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Randall Cobb
    Randall Cobb 4 REC · 58 YDS +5.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Green Bay Packers defeated the Atlanta Falcons 43–37 in Week 14 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-12-08, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-14.5% win probability) came in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 14 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-12-08, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 43–37 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 29 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with +24.44 total EPA, and +0.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +24.44 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-14.5% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (6:45) (No Huddle) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 17-D.Hester INTERCEPTED by 42-M.Burnett at ATL 47. 42-M.Burnett to ATL 15 for 32 yards (32-J.Rodgers).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Atlanta Falcons701020037
Green Bay Packers72439043

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +24.44 total EPA · 42 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
  2. 2 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +20.65 total EPA · 41 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +19.84 total EPA · 17 snaps · +1.17 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +11.28 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.13 EPA/play
  5. 5 H. Douglas · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +6.04 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.01 EPA/play
  6. 6 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.16 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.03 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Quarless · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.82 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.21 EPA/play
  8. 8 E. Weems · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.08 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.08 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Ryan — ATL · Passing

M. Ryan posted the highest total EPA (+24.44) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 42 counted snaps, they averaged +0.58 EPA per play.

The signature play (-7.11 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (6:45) (No Huddle) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 17-D.Hester INTERCEPTED by 42-M.Burnett at ATL 47. 42-M.Burnett to ATL 15 for 32 yards (32-J.Rodgers).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Green Bay Packers — J. Starks (Q1 56:18)
  • Atlanta Falcons — S. Jackson (Q1 52:05)
  • Green Bay Packers — E. Lacy (Q2 45:00)
  • Green Bay Packers — E. Lacy (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 34:24)
  • Green Bay Packers — J. Nelson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 30:31)
  • Atlanta Falcons — E. Weems (M. Ryan pass) (Q3 27:39)
  • Atlanta Falcons — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 12:39)
  • Green Bay Packers — J. Nelson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 10:38)
  • Atlanta Falcons — R. White (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 6:20)
  • Atlanta Falcons — H. Douglas (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 2:15)

Field goals

  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 37:22)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q3 23:25)
  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q3 19:00)
  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 4:37)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 3 (Q1 56:18) — (11:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 44-J.Starks right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q1 56:13) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 4 (Q1 52:05) — (7:05) (No Huddle) 39-S.Jackson left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q1 52:00) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 24–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 73-J.Tretter and 65-L.Taylor reported in as eligible. 27-E.Lacy left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 44:55) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the ATL 21 (Q2 37:22) — (7:22) 2-M.Crosby 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q2 34:24) — (4:24) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 27-E.Lacy for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 34:20) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 10 (Q2 30:31) — (:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Nelson for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 30:24) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The third quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 10–3. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 5 (Q3 27:39) — (12:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 14-E.Weems for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q3 27:35) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the GB 32 (Q3 23:25) — (8:25) 3-M.Bryant 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. Penalty on GB-31-D.House, Defensive Offside, declined.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the ATL 15 (Q3 19:00) — (4:00) 2-M.Crosby 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 20–9. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 22 (Q4 12:39) — (12:39) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 11-J.Jones for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q4 12:33) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 60 (Q4 10:38) — (10:38) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 87-J.Nelson for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q4 6:20) — (6:20) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 84-R.White for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the ATL 35 (Q4 4:37) — (4:37) 2-M.Crosby 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 2 (Q4 2:15) — (2:15) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 83-H.Douglas for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q4 2:11) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 36:45) — (6:45) (No Huddle) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 17-D.Hester INTERCEPTED by 42-M.Burnett at ATL 47. 42-M.Burnett to ATL 15 for 32 yards (32-J.Rodgers). [WPA -14.5% · EPA -7.11]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 50:12) — (5:12) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 81-A.Quarless to GB 43 for 30 yards (36-K.Ishmael, 25-W.Moore). [WPA +9.7% · EPA +3.92]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 30:24) — (:24) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 11-J.Jones to 50 for 30 yards (21-H.Clinton-Dix, 29-C.Hayward). [WPA -7.9% · EPA +0.90]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 48:39) — (3:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-E.Lacy left end to ATL 32 for 10 yards (25-W.Moore; 53-P.Shembo). [WPA +6.3% · EPA +0.99]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 52:33) — (7:33) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 11-J.Jones to GB 4 for 18 yards (21-H.Clinton-Dix). [WPA +5.3% · EPA +2.46]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 36:45) — (6:45) (No Huddle) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 17-D.Hester INTERCEPTED by 42-M.Burnett at ATL 47. 42-M.Burnett to ATL 15 for 32 yards (32-J.Rodgers). [WPA -14.5% · EPA -7.11]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q3 29:53) — (14:53) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 11-J.Jones to GB 3 for 79 yards (38-T.Williams). [WPA +2.6% · EPA +5.92]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 10:38) — (10:38) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 87-J.Nelson for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.2% · EPA +4.76]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 2:15) — (2:15) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 83-H.Douglas for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +2.3% · EPA +4.21]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 42 dropbacks · 57.1% completion · +0.9% CPOE · +0.58 EPA/play · +24.44 total EPA
  • A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 41 dropbacks · 58.5% completion · +4.6% CPOE · +0.50 EPA/play · +20.65 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatAtlanta FalconsGreen Bay Packers
Offensive EPA/play+0.267+0.304
Offensive success rate53.5%56.3%
Pass EPA/play+0.582+0.504
Rush EPA/play-0.068+0.140
Defensive EPA/play-0.304-0.267
Defensive success rate43.7%46.5%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Atlanta Falcons +0.27, Green Bay Packers +0.30) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, +22.95 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Green Bay Packers: 10 drives, +26.48 total EPA, 8 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 56:18 · ATL 3 · Score 0-6
    (11:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 44-J.Starks right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 56:13 · ATL 2 · Score 0-7
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
  3. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 52:05 · GB 4 · Score 6-7
    (7:05) (No Huddle) 39-S.Jackson left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 52:00 · GB 2 · Score 7-7
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 45:00 · ATL 1 · Score 7-13
    (15:00) 73-J.Tretter and 65-L.Taylor reported in as eligible. 27-E.Lacy left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 44:55 · ATL 2 · Score 7-14
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
  7. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 37:22 · ATL 21 · Score 7-17
    (7:22) 2-M.Crosby 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
  8. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 34:24 · ATL 1 · Score 7-23
    (4:24) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 27-E.Lacy for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 34:20 · ATL 2 · Score 7-24
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
  10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 30:31 · ATL 10 · Score 7-30
    (:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Nelson for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 30:24 · ATL 2 · Score 7-31
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
  12. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 27:39 · GB 5 · Score 13-31
    (12:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 14-E.Weems for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q3 27:35 · GB 2 · Score 14-31
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  14. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q3 23:25 · GB 32 · Score 17-31
    (8:25) 3-M.Bryant 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. Penalty on GB-31-D.House, Defensive Offside, declined.
  15. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 19:00 · ATL 15 · Score 17-34
    (4:00) 2-M.Crosby 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
  16. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 12:39 · GB 22 · Score 23-34
    (12:39) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 11-J.Jones for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  17. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 12:33 · GB 2 · Score 24-34
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  18. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 10:38 · ATL 60 · Score 24-40
    (10:38) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 87-J.Nelson for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  19. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 6:20 · GB 1 · Score 30-40
    (6:20) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 84-R.White for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  20. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 4:37 · ATL 35 · Score 30-43
    (4:37) 2-M.Crosby 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
  21. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 2:15 · GB 2 · Score 36-43
    (2:15) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 83-H.Douglas for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  22. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 2:11 · GB 2 · Score 37-43
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers?

The Green Bay Packers beat the Atlanta Falcons 43-37 in Week 14, 2014 on 2014-12-08.

What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers?

The final score was Atlanta Falcons 37, Green Bay Packers 43 (ATL 37-43 GB) in Week 14, 2014 on 2014-12-08.

What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers?

Q1: Atlanta Falcons 7, Green Bay Packers 7; Q2: Atlanta Falcons 0, Green Bay Packers 24; Q3: Atlanta Falcons 10, Green Bay Packers 3; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 20, Green Bay Packers 9; Final: Atlanta Falcons 37, Green Bay Packers 43.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers?

Green Bay Packers touchdown — J. Starks (Q1 56:18) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — S. Jackson (Q1 52:05) Green Bay Packers touchdown — E. Lacy (Q2 45:00) Green Bay Packers touchdown — E. Lacy (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 34:24) Green Bay Packers touchdown — J. Nelson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 30:31) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — E. Weems (M. Ryan pass) (Q3 27:39) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 12:39) Green Bay Packers touchdown — J. Nelson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 10:38) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — R. White (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 6:20) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — H. Douglas (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 2:15) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q2 37:22, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q3 23:25, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q3 19:00, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q4 4:37, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 57.1% completion, +0.9% CPOE, +0.58 EPA per dropback, +24.44 total passing EPA. A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers), 58.5% completion, +4.6% CPOE, +0.50 EPA per dropback, +20.65 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +24.44 on passing plays. across 42 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.11 EPA): (6:45) (No Huddle) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 17-D.Hester INTERCEPTED by 42-M.Burnett at ATL 47. 42-M.Burnett to ATL 15 for 32 yards (32-J.Rodgers).. The biggest win-probability swing was -14.5%.

Was Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 6 points. Green Bay Packers won 43-37 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 5-7 Now 5-8 L

Green Bay Packers

Entered 9-3 Now 10-3 W