Atlanta Falcons vs. Arizona Cardinals: 2023 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-11-12, the Arizona Cardinals took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 25–23 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 29 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

K. Murray (Arizona Cardinals) paced the passing game, with -5.36 total EPA, and -8.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. London (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +3.20 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+25.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Arizona Cardinals changed the game: (:02) 5-M.Prater 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. London · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.20 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Ridder · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +3.17 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
3. 3 T. McBride · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +2.90 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Conner · Arizona Cardinals · Rushing · +1.96 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
5. 5 S. Miller · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.94 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.94 EPA/play
6. 6 K. Murray · Arizona Cardinals · Rushing · +1.66 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
7. 7 Mi. Wilson · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +1.04 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Ridder · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +1.00 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Atlanta Falcons — S. Miller (T. Heinicke pass) (Q2 43:33)
• Atlanta Falcons — B. Robinson (Q2 34:12)
• Arizona Cardinals — K. Murray (Q2 30:14)
• Arizona Cardinals — C. Tune (Q3 15:21)
• Atlanta Falcons — D. Ridder (Q4 2:39)

Field goals

• Arizona Cardinals — M. Prater (Q1 49:53)
• Arizona Cardinals — M. Prater (Q2 40:37)
• Arizona Cardinals — M. Prater (Q3 24:21)
• Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q3 20:23)
• Arizona Cardinals — M. Prater (Q4 0:02)
• Arizona Cardinals — unlisted player (Q4 0:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Arizona Cardinals won the period 3–0. Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the ATL 33 (Q1 49:53) — (4:53) 5-M.Prater 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin..

The second quarter: Arizona Cardinals won the period 15–14. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the ARI 2 (Q2 43:33) — (13:33) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short left to 16-S.Miller for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the ARI 15 (Q2 43:27) — 6-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.; Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the ATL 28 (Q2 40:37) — (10:37) 5-M.Prater 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the ARI 5 (Q2 34:12) — (4:12) 7-B.Robinson up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the ARI 15 (Q2 34:07) — 6-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the ATL 6 (Q2 30:14) — (:14) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the ATL 2 (Q2 30:10).

The third quarter: Arizona Cardinals won the period 10–3. Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the ATL 38 (Q3 24:21) — (9:21) 5-M.Prater 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the ARI 17 (Q3 20:23) — (5:23) 6-Y.Koo 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q3 15:21) — (:21) New QB 15-C.Tune. 15-C.Tune up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ATL-75-K.Street, Defensive Offside, declined.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q3 15:19) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 6–6. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the ARI 9 (Q4 2:39) — (2:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder left end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the ATL 5 (Q4 0:02) — (:02) 5-M.Prater 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.; Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal (Q4 0:00) — END GAME.

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Arizona Cardinals (Q4 0:02) — (:02) 5-M.Prater 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin. [WPA +25.9% · EPA +0.06]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q3 21:46) — (6:46) 1-K.Murray pass short middle intended for 85-T.McBride INTERCEPTED by 53-N.Landman at ARI 39. 53-N.Landman pushed ob at ARI 14 for 25 yards (1-K.Murray). [WPA -23.3% · EPA -6.67]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q4 0:57) — (:57) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 85-T.McBride to ATL 9 for 33 yards (3-J.Bates). [WPA +22.0% · EPA +2.33]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 3:49) — (3:49) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder pass incomplete deep left to 5-D.London. PENALTY on ARI-33-A.Hamilton, Defensive Pass Interference, 32 yards, enforced at ARI 47 - No Play. [WPA +18.6% · EPA +2.51]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q4 1:50) — (1:50) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray scrambles right end to ATL 45 for 13 yards (53-N.Landman). [WPA +17.4% · EPA +1.66]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Arizona Cardinals (Q3 21:46) — (6:46) 1-K.Murray pass short middle intended for 85-T.McBride INTERCEPTED by 53-N.Landman at ARI 39. 53-N.Landman pushed ob at ARI 14 for 25 yards (1-K.Murray). [WPA -23.3% · EPA -6.67]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 8:01) — (8:01) 9-D.Ridder up the middle to ARI 21 for no gain (93-J.Ledbetter). [WPA -13.1% · EPA -4.17]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 2:39) — (2:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder left end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.0% · EPA +2.74]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q2 30:14) — (:14) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.4% · EPA +2.53]

Quarterback report card

K.Murray led all passers in efficiency for Arizona Cardinals, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• K.Murray (Arizona Cardinals) · 40 dropbacks · 47.5% completion · -8.2% CPOE · -0.13 EPA/play · -5.36 total EPA
• T.Heinicke (Atlanta Falcons) · 23 dropbacks · 34.8% completion · -10.5% CPOE · -0.03 EPA/play · -0.74 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Atlanta Falcons +0.01, Arizona Cardinals +0.02) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Arizona Cardinals: 10 drives, +1.34 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, +0.61 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Arizona Cardinals leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• D. London (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• K. Murray (ARI) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• T. Heinicke (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q1 49:53 · ATL 33 · Score 0-3
   (4:53) 5-M.Prater 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
2. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 43:33 · ARI 2 · Score 6-3
   (13:33) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short left to 16-S.Miller for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 43:27 · ARI 15 · Score 7-3
   6-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
4. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q2 40:37 · ATL 28 · Score 7-6
   (10:37) 5-M.Prater 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
5. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 34:12 · ARI 5 · Score 13-6
   (4:12) 7-B.Robinson up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 34:07 · ARI 15 · Score 14-6
   6-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
7. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q2 30:14 · ATL 6 · Score 14-12
   (:14) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q2 30:10 · ATL 2 · Score 14-12
   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 1-K.Murray pass to 6-J.Conner is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. Penalty on ARI-14-Mi.Wilson, Offensive Pass Interference, declined.
9. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q3 24:21 · ATL 38 · Score 14-15
   (9:21) 5-M.Prater 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
10. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q3 20:23 · ARI 17 · Score 17-15
    (5:23) 6-Y.Koo 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
11. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q3 15:21 · ATL 1 · Score 17-21
    (:21) New QB 15-C.Tune. 15-C.Tune up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ATL-75-K.Street, Defensive Offside, declined.
12. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q3 15:19 · ATL 15 · Score 17-22
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
13. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 2:39 · ARI 9 · Score 23-22
    (2:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder left end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q4 0:02 · ATL 5 · Score 23-25
    (:02) 5-M.Prater 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
15. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q4 0:00 · Score 23-25
    END GAME