Arizona Cardinals vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2019 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-11-10, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Arizona Cardinals, pulling away with a 30–27 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +5.33 total EPA, and +3.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Kirk (Arizona Cardinals) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +12.16 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+21.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Arizona Cardinals changed the game: (8:39) (Punt formation) 4-A.Lee pass deep left to 12-P.Cooper to TB 38 for 26 yards (39-A.Adams). Penalty on TB-39-A.Adams, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 C. Kirk · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +12.16 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.22 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Isabella · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +6.09 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.03 EPA/play
3. 3 L. Fitzgerald · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +6.02 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +5.33 total EPA · 59 snaps · +0.09 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.85 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
6. 6 A. Lee · Arizona Cardinals · Passing · +4.24 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.24 EPA/play
7. 7 O. Howard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.24 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
8. 8 K. Murray · Arizona Cardinals · Passing · +2.70 total EPA · 49 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Jones (Q1 48:46)
• Arizona Cardinals — C. Kirk (K. Murray pass) (Q2 31:10)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — O. Howard (J. Winston pass) (Q2 30:12)
• Arizona Cardinals — C. Kirk (K. Murray pass) (Q3 23:20)
• Arizona Cardinals — C. Kirk (K. Murray pass) (Q4 7:28)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — P. Barber (Q4 1:47)

Field goals

• Arizona Cardinals — Z. Gonzalez (Q1 56:17)
• Arizona Cardinals — Z. Gonzalez (Q2 44:19)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Gay (Q2 38:57)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Gay (Q3 23:42)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Gay (Q4 9:48)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–3. Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the TB 19 (Q1 56:17) — (11:17) 5-Z.Gonzalez 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ARI 7 (Q1 48:46) — (3:46) 27-R.Jones up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ARI 15 (Q1 48:42) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 10–10. Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the TB 36 (Q2 44:19) — (14:19) 5-Z.Gonzalez 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ARI 12 (Q2 38:57) — (8:57) 9-M.Gay 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the TB 33 (Q2 31:10) — (1:10) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 13-C.Kirk for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 31:03) — 5-Z.Gonzalez extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ARI 10 (Q2 30:12) — (:12) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 80-O.Howard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ARI 15 (Q2 30:08) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

The third quarter: Arizona Cardinals won the period 7–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ARI 27 (Q3 23:42) — (8:42) 9-M.Gay 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the TB 69 (Q3 23:20) — (8:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 13-C.Kirk for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 23:10) — 5-Z.Gonzalez extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ARI 23 (Q4 9:48) — (9:48) 9-M.Gay 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the TB 15 (Q4 7:28) — (7:28) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 13-C.Kirk for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 7:22) — 5-Z.Gonzalez extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ARI 1 (Q4 1:47) — (1:47) 25-P.Barber left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ARI 15 (Q4 1:43) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Arizona Cardinals (Q4 8:39) — (8:39) (Punt formation) 4-A.Lee pass deep left to 12-P.Cooper to TB 38 for 26 yards (39-A.Adams). Penalty on TB-39-A.Adams, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA +21.0% · EPA +4.24]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q3 23:20) — (8:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 13-C.Kirk for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +20.5% · EPA +5.87]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q4 7:28) — (7:28) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 13-C.Kirk for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.2% · EPA +2.94]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 3:40) — (3:40) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep right to 12-C.Godwin to ARI 43 for 49 yards (34-J.Thompson). [WPA +15.4% · EPA +2.56]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q3 16:19) — (1:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 31-D.Johnson to TB 11 for 8 yards (54-L.David). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Hu [WPA -14.7% · EPA -4.40]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Arizona Cardinals (Q3 23:20) — (8:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 13-C.Kirk for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +20.5% · EPA +5.87]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q3 16:19) — (1:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 31-D.Johnson to TB 11 for 8 yards (54-L.David). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Hu [WPA -14.7% · EPA -4.40]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q3 29:56) — (14:56) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 89-A.Isabella ran ob at TB 32 for 55 yards (28-V.Hargreaves). [WPA +12.0% · EPA +4.30]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q4 8:39) — (8:39) (Punt formation) 4-A.Lee pass deep left to 12-P.Cooper to TB 38 for 26 yards (39-A.Adams). Penalty on TB-39-A.Adams, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA +21.0% · EPA +4.24]

Quarterback report card

J.Winston led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 59 dropbacks · 50.8% completion · +3.8% CPOE · +0.09 EPA/play · +5.33 total EPA
• K.Murray (Arizona Cardinals) · 49 dropbacks · 55.1% completion · +3.4% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +2.70 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Arizona Cardinals +0.07, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.07) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Arizona Cardinals: 13 drives, +5.98 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 12 drives, +6.78 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• C. Kirk (Arizona Cardinals) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Winston (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• K. Murray (ARI) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q1 56:17 · TB 19 · Score 3-0
   (11:17) 5-Z.Gonzalez 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-A.Lee.
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 48:46 · ARI 7 · Score 3-6
   (3:46) 27-R.Jones up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 48:42 · ARI 15 · Score 3-7
   9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
4. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q2 44:19 · TB 36 · Score 6-7
   (14:19) 5-Z.Gonzalez 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-A.Lee.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 38:57 · ARI 12 · Score 6-10
   (8:57) 9-M.Gay 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
6. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q2 31:10 · TB 33 · Score 12-10
   (1:10) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 13-C.Kirk for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q2 31:03 · TB 15 · Score 13-10
   5-Z.Gonzalez extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-A.Lee.
8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 30:12 · ARI 10 · Score 13-16
   (:12) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 80-O.Howard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 30:08 · ARI 15 · Score 13-17
   9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 23:42 · ARI 27 · Score 13-20
    (8:42) 9-M.Gay 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
11. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q3 23:20 · TB 69 · Score 19-20
    (8:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 13-C.Kirk for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q3 23:10 · TB 15 · Score 20-20
    5-Z.Gonzalez extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-A.Lee.
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 9:48 · ARI 23 · Score 20-23
    (9:48) 9-M.Gay 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
14. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q4 7:28 · TB 15 · Score 26-23
    (7:28) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 13-C.Kirk for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q4 7:22 · TB 15 · Score 27-23
    5-Z.Gonzalez extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-A.Lee.
16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 1:47 · ARI 1 · Score 27-29
    (1:47) 25-P.Barber left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 1:43 · ARI 15 · Score 27-30
    9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.